Horizon / Plein textes La base de ressources documentaires de l'IRD

IRD

 

Publications des scientifiques de l'IRD

Le Quéré C., Andrew R. M., Friedlingstein P., Sitch S., Hauck J., Pongratz J., Pickers P. A., Korsbakken J. I., Peters G. P., Canadell J. G., Arneth A., Arora V. K., Barbero L., Bastos A., Bopp L., Chevallier F., Chini L. P., Ciais P., Doney S. C., Gkritzalis T., Goll D. S., Harris I., Haverd V., Hoffman F. M., Hoppema M., Houghton R. A., Hurtt G., Ilyina T., Jain A. K., Johannessen T., Jones C. D., Kato E., Keeling R. F., Goldewijk K. K., Landschutzer P., Lefèvre Nathalie, Lienert S., Liu Z., Lombardozzi D., Metzl N., Munro D. R., Nabel Jems, Nakaoka S., Neill C., Olsen A., Ono T., Patra P., Peregon A., Peters W., Peylin P., Pfeil B., Pierrot D., Poulter B., Rehder G., Resplandy L., Robertson E., Rocher M., Rodenbeck C., Schuster U., Schwinger J., Seferian R., Skjelvan I., Steinhoff T., Sutton A., Tans P. P., Tian H. Q., Tilbrook B., Tubiello F. N., van der Laan-Luijkx I. T., van der Werf G. R., Viovy N., Walker A. P., Wiltshire A. J., Wright R., Zaehle S., Zheng B. (2018). Global carbon budget 2018 [Data Paper]. Earth System Science Data, 10 (4), 2141-2194. ISSN 1866-3508

Fichier PDF disponiblehttp://horizon.documentation.ird.fr/exl-doc/pleins_textes/divers18-12/010074496.pdf[ PDF Link ]

Lien direct chez l'éditeur doi:10.5194/essd-10-2141-2018

Titre
Global carbon budget 2018 [Data Paper]
Année de publication2018
Type de documentArticle référencé dans le Web of Science WOS:000452233700001
AuteursLe Quéré C., Andrew R. M., Friedlingstein P., Sitch S., Hauck J., Pongratz J., Pickers P. A., Korsbakken J. I., Peters G. P., Canadell J. G., Arneth A., Arora V. K., Barbero L., Bastos A., Bopp L., Chevallier F., Chini L. P., Ciais P., Doney S. C., Gkritzalis T., Goll D. S., Harris I., Haverd V., Hoffman F. M., Hoppema M., Houghton R. A., Hurtt G., Ilyina T., Jain A. K., Johannessen T., Jones C. D., Kato E., Keeling R. F., Goldewijk K. K., Landschutzer P., Lefèvre Nathalie, Lienert S., Liu Z., Lombardozzi D., Metzl N., Munro D. R., Nabel Jems, Nakaoka S., Neill C., Olsen A., Ono T., Patra P., Peregon A., Peters W., Peylin P., Pfeil B., Pierrot D., Poulter B., Rehder G., Resplandy L., Robertson E., Rocher M., Rodenbeck C., Schuster U., Schwinger J., Seferian R., Skjelvan I., Steinhoff T., Sutton A., Tans P. P., Tian H. Q., Tilbrook B., Tubiello F. N., van der Laan-Luijkx I. T., van der Werf G. R., Viovy N., Walker A. P., Wiltshire A. J., Wright R., Zaehle S., Zheng B.
SourceEarth System Science Data, 2018, 10 (4), p. 2141-2194. ISSN 1866-3508
RésuméAccurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere - the "global carbon budget" - is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe data sets and methodology to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. Fossil CO2 emissions (E-FF) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, while emissions from land use and land-use change (E-LUC), mainly deforestation, are based on land use and land -use change data and bookkeeping models. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its growth rate (G(ATM)) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The ocean CO2 sink (S-OCEAN) and terrestrial CO2 sink (S-LAND) are estimated with global process models constrained by observations. The resulting carbon budget imbalance (B-IM), the difference between the estimated total emissions and the estimated changes in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, is a measure of imperfect data and understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as +/- 1 sigma. For the last decade available (2008-2017), E-FF was 9.4 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), E-LUC 1.5 +/- 0.7 GtC yr(-1), G(ATM) 4.7 +/- 0.02 GtC yr(-1), S-OCEAN 2.4 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), and S-LAND 3.2 +/- 0.8 GtC yr(-1), with a budget imbalance B-IM of 0.5 GtC yr(-1) indicating overestimated emissions and/or underestimated sinks. For the year 2017 alone, the growth in E-FF was about 1.6 % and emissions increased to 9.9 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1). Also for 2017, E-LUC was 1.4 +/- 0.7 GtC yr(-1), G(ATM) was 4.6 +/- 0.2 GtC yr(-1), S-OCEAN was 2.5 +/- 0.5 GtC yr(-1), and S-LAND was 3.8 +/- 0.8 GtC yr(-1), with a B-IM of 0.3 GtC. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 405.0 +/- 0.1 ppm averaged over 2017. For 2018, preliminary data for the first 6-9 months indicate a renewed growth in E-FF of +2.7 % (range of 1.8 % to 3.7 %) based on national emission projections for China, the US, the EU, and India and projections of gross domestic product corrected for recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy for the rest of the world. The analysis presented here shows that the mean and trend in the five components of the global carbon budget are consistently estimated over the period of 1959-2017, but discrepancies of up to 1 GtC yr(-1) persist for the representation of semi-decadal variability in CO2 fluxes. A detailed comparison among individual estimates and the introduction of a broad range of observations show (1) no consensus in the mean and trend in land -use change emissions, (2) a persistent low agreement among the different methods on the magnitude of the land CO2 flux in the northern extra-tropics, and (3) an apparent underestimation of the CO2 variability by ocean models, originating outside the tropics. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new global carbon budget and the progress in understanding the global carbon cycle compared with previous publications of this data set (Le Quere et al., 2018, 2016, 2015a, b, 2014, 2013). All results presented here can be downloaded from
Plan de classementSciences du milieu [021] ; Etudes, transformation, conservation du milieu naturel [082] ; Ecologie, systèmes aquatiques [036]
Descr. géo.MONDE
LocalisationFonds IRD [F B010074496]
Identifiant IRDfdi:010074496
Lien permanenthttp://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010074496

Export des données

Disponibilité des documents

Télechargment fichier PDF téléchargeable

Lien sur le Web lien chez l'éditeur

Accès réservé en accès réservé

HAL en libre accès sur HAL


* PDF Link :

    à télécharger pour citer/partager ce document sur les réseaux sociaux académiques


Accès aux documents originaux :

Le FDI est labellisé CollEx

Accès direct

Bureau du chercheur

Site de la documentation

Espace intranet IST (accès réservé)

Suivi des publications IRD (accès réservé)

Mentions légales

Services Horizon

Poser une question

Consulter l'aide en ligne

Déposer une publication (accès réservé)

S'abonner au flux RSS

Voir les tableaux chronologiques et thématiques

Centres de documentation

Bondy

Montpellier (centre IRD)

Montpellier (MSE)

Cayenne

Nouméa

Papeete

Abidjan

Dakar

Niamey

Ouagadougou

Tunis

La Paz

Quito