@techreport{fdi:010096132,
  title = {{W}hen it rains the dual impact of rainfall on child survival in rural {S}enegal},
  author = {{D}iallo, {H}. and {R}obilliard, {A}nne-{S}ophie},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{U}sing 37 years of longitudinal data on over 60,000 children, we examine how rainfall affects child survival in rural {S}enegal. {T}wo contrasting effects are likely to be at play: a beneficial effect from increased rainfall stemming from improved income and nutrition, and a detrimental effect resulting from a more adverse disease environment. {T}o assess the effects of rainfall on child survival rates, we use high- resolution rainfall data matched with discrete-time event data at the person-month level. {O}ur analysis uses two distinct measures of rainfall deviations: one representing rainfall deviations during the previous rainy season, and another for current rainfall deviations. {A}dditionally, we explore the heterogeneity of the impact over different groups. {N}ext, we make use of causes of death data to try and support the


interpretation of our main results and, finally, present some tentative simulation results. {O}ur results confirm that the rates of child mortality are influenced by fluctuations in income and nutrition related to rainfall, as well as by the seasonality of the burden of disease. {T}his burden escalates notably during the rainy season, compounded by food scarcity in lean periods. {T}he severity of this stress amplifies when rainfall in the preceding rainy season has been insufficient. {W}e also present simulations of child mortality under different rainfall scenarios, providing a policy-relevant perspective on how future climate variability may affect child survival in semi-arid, rain-fed agricultural settings.},
  keywords = {{SENEGAL}},
  address = {{P}aris},
  publisher = {{DIAL}},
  series = {{D}ocument de {T}ravail - {DIAL}},
  pages = {28  multigr.},
  year = {2025},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010096132},
}