@article{fdi:010096056, title = {{S}tratification and wind changes shape future {I}ndian {O}cean chlorophyll}, author = {{S}adhvi, {K}. and {L}engaigne, {M}atthieu and {S}uresh, {I}. and {D}utheil, {C}yril and {V}ialard, {J}{\'e}r{\^o}me}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{L}arge uncertainties in projected future changes of {I}ndian {O}cean chlorophyll across {E}arth {S}ystem {M}odels are largely attributed to differences in biogeochemical process representation. {W}e show, however, that large biases in the historical physical state of the ocean and inter-model differences in future climate also play a substantial role. {U}sing a bias-corrected ocean-only model forced by air-sea flux anomalies from multiple {CMIP}6 models, we find that correcting historical physical state biases amplify projected summer surface chlorophyll ({SC}hl) changes by up to a factor of two and improves inter-model consistency. {H}eat flux driven enhanced upper ocean stratification, consistently reduces {SC}hl by -10% to -40%, depending on the upwelling region. {W}ind-driven nutricline changes dominate responses in {SC}hl, off southern {I}ndia (-45% wind effect versus -30% from stratification) and {S}umatra (+25% versus -12%). {T}hese results highlight the need to improve the representation of monsoonal winds and their future evolution to better constrain biogeochemical projections.}, keywords = {{I}ndian {O}cean ; climate change ; surface chlorophyll ; stratification ; upwelling ; wind changes ; {OCEAN} {INDIEN}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{E}nvironmental {R}esearch {C}ommunications}, volume = {8}, numero = {1}, pages = {011004 [12 p.]}, ISSN = {2515-7620}, year = {2026}, DOI = {10.1088/2515-7620/ae3462}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010096056}, }