@article{fdi:010095381, title = {{F}uture {A}tlantification of the {E}uropean {A}rctic limited under sustained global warming}, author = {{D}e {R}overe, {F}. and {M}astropierro, {M}. and {J}ungclaus, {J}. {H}. and {K}hodri, {M}yriam and {R}ubino, {A}. and {Z}anchettin, {D}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{A}tlantification is an ongoing oceanic phenomenon characterised by the expansion of the typical {A}tlantic domain towards the {A}rctic, driving rapid oceanic and ecological changes in the {E}uropean {A}rctic. {U}sing reanalyses and a multi-model ensemble of unperturbed and transient preindustrial, historical and future-scenario simulations, this study shows that modern {A}tlantification possibly initiated in the late nineteenth century, preceded by several "{A}rctification" episodes in the preindustrial millennium. {I}n the historical period, {A}tlantification and pan-{A}rctic warming superposed constructively to drive upper-ocean warming and salinification in the {B}arents {S}ea. {M}odern {A}tlantification is projected to continue in the next few decades, fully revealing its exceptional character in the context of the past millennium. {H}owever, {A}tlantification halts during the second half of the twenty-first century, decoupling from pan-{A}rctic warming. {T}he northward expansion of the {A}tlantic domain is hindered by the onset of a damping mechanism where the {A}tlantic-{A}rctic density gradient increases progressively, which sustains a countercurrent by baroclinic adjustment pushing the {A}rctic polar front southward. {A}s the evolution of this density gradient is intertwined with the retreat of the sea-ice edge, a late-summer ice-free {B}arents {S}ea may mark the end of modern {A}tlantification.}, keywords = {{EUROPE} ; {ARCTIQUE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{S}cientific {R}eports - {N}ature}, volume = {15}, numero = {1}, pages = {30802 [14 p.]}, ISSN = {2045-2322}, year = {2025}, DOI = {10.1038/s41598-025-16161-8}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010095381}, }