@article{fdi:010093868,
  title = {{C}urrent and future plant invasions in protected areas : does clonality matter ?},
  author = {{W}an, {J}.{Z}. and {W}ang, {C}.{J}. and {Z}immermann, {N}.{E}. and {L}i, {M}.{H}. and {P}outeau, {R}obin and {Y}u, {F}.{H}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{A}im : {P}rotected areas ({PA}s) play an important role in biodiversity conservation, but remain increasingly threatened by invasive alien plant species ({IAPS}) in conjunction with global climate change. {T}he latter is modifying the distribution of the former, and the magnitude and direction of distributional changes are predicted to vary depending on species dispersal mode. {H}ere, we address the question of whether clonality is expected to affect the future invasion pattern in {PA}s. {L}ocation {W}orldwide. {T}ime period 1950-2100. {M}ajor taxa studied 36 invasive alien plant species. {M}ethods : {W}e used ensembles of three species distribution models ({GLM}, {GAM} and {M}axent) based on >70,000 occurrence records to project the distribution of 36 of the world's most invasive clonal and non-clonal plants in >20,000 {PA}s. {P}rojections were based on three greenhouse gas concentration scenarios (low, medium and high) for 2080. {R}esults : {C}limate change showed little impact on the global invasion pattern in {PA}s, and clonality showed little effect when all biomes were processed in concert. {H}owever, we discerned that the future invasion risk of clonal {IAPS} markedly increased in biomes located at high elevation and high latitude compared with non-clonal {IAPS}, while the risk decreased in lower-elevation tropical and subtropical biomes where asexual reproduction may be a less successful trait. {W}e also showed that invasion hot spots overlapped with biodiversity hot spots and two realms (i.e. {N}earctic and {P}alearctic), which calls for bridging the gap between invasion and conservation sciences and for more concerted management strategies. {M}ain conclusions : {W}e suggest that effective management of {IAPS} in {PA}s should consider in which biomes {PA}s are located as well as the reproductive traits of {IAPS} that are present or may become so.},
  keywords = {{ZONE} {TROPICALE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{D}iversity and {D}istributions},
  volume = {27},
  numero = {12},
  pages = {2465--2478},
  ISSN = {1366-9516},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.1111/ddi.13425},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010093868},
}