@article{fdi:010093535,
  title = {{C}ontrasting effects of climate and anthropogenic change on future invasion risk of a solitary bee {A}megilla pulchra},
  author = {{D}ubos, {N}. and {G}eslin, {B}. and {J}ourdan, {H}erv{\'e} and {R}enault, {D}. and {Z}akardjian, {M}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{A}megilla pulchra is a solitary bee from {A}ustralia that has recently been spread throughout many islands of the {P}acific. {T}he non-regulated human-driven spread of the species may affect the local pollinator communities and their interactions with host plants. {W}e used an ecological niche modelling approach, accounting for nonequilibrium and anthropogenic spread with the most recently recommended methods, and predicted the potential spread of the species under current and future conditions. {W}e expected climate change and increase in human density to offer new suitable environments for the spread of the species. {I}nvasion risks will increase in the future overall, but more in the non-native regions compared to the native region. {I}n the native region, the projected effect of future environmental change was highly contrasted, we projected invasion risk to increase in human-dense areas but decrease elsewhere. {W}e identified high risks of invasion in eastern {A}sia and in the {C}aribbean region and provide a world ranking for surveillance priority which accounts for maritime traffic. {T}his study highlights potential contrasted effects between climate and anthropogenic change, with differing projections between the native and the non-native regions. {P}ublic awareness and prevention will be key to prevent further spread and mitigate potential adverse effects of the species on island systems. {I}n regions that are already invaded, we propose that habitat restoration is a promising strategy for both the mitigation of the spread and the conservation of local communities.},
  keywords = {{A}ustralia ; {C}limate change ; {E}nsemble of small models ; {E}xotic pollinator ; {H}uman population ; {M}aritime traffic ; {P}acific islands ; {AUSTRALIE} ; {PACIFIQUE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{J}ournal of {E}nvironmental {M}anagement},
  volume = {385},
  numero = {},
  pages = {125711 [11 p.]},
  ISSN = {0301-4797},
  year = {2025},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125711},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010093535},
}