@article{fdi:010093424,
  title = {{F}uture water resources and droughts in the {A}tlas {M}ountains of {M}orocco under a high-emission climate scenario},
  author = {{L}ahnik, {O}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {H}anich, {L}. and {A}ndersson, {J}. {C}. {M}. and {L}guensat, {R}edouane and {I}sberg, {K}. and {B}en {A}hmed, {A}. and {D}ahn, {J}. and {S}ultan, {B}enjamin},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{S}tudy {R}egion: {M}orocco, {N}orth {A}frica. {T}his study examines 36 mountainous basins that supply most of the country's surface water. {S}tudy {F}ocus: {T}his study aims to evaluate the potential impacts of climate change on discharge in {M}orocco. {T}wo hydrological models, {W}orld {W}ide {HYPE} and {GR}4{J}-{C}ema{N}eige, were used in combination with outputs from nine bias-corrected regional climate models. {F}uture discharge was projected under the high-emission {RCP}8.5 scenario for the mid-century (2040-2060) and late-century (2070-2100). {B}y implementing a state-of-the-art modeling approach on numerous representative sites, the study provides a robust framework for assessing changes in hydrological processes and water availability. {N}ew {H}ydrological {I}nsights for the {R}egion: {T}his research identifies critical changes in snow dynamics, with peak snow storage projected to decrease by over 50 % due to rising temperatures. {C}onsequently, the contribution of snowmelt to discharge will significantly diminish. {T}hese snow-related shifts are heading to an average reduction in discharge of-55 % by the late century (2070-2100). {T}his reduction is primarily driven by significant decreases in precipitation (up to-43 %) combined with substantial increases in potential evapotranspiration (up to +38 %). {A}dditionally, hydrological droughts are expected to become more frequent and prolonged, underscoring the urgent need for adaptive water management strategies specifically designed to address basin-specific characteristics.},
  keywords = {{C}limate change impacts ; {H}ydrological modeling ; {M}ountainous region ; {D}rought analysis ; {S}treamflow projection ; {MAROC}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{J}ournal of {H}ydrology : {R}egional {S}tudies},
  volume = {59},
  numero = {},
  pages = {102371 [22 p.]},
  year = {2025},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102371},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010093424},
}