@article{fdi:010093415, title = {{W}hat makes a marine heatwave forecast useable, useful and used ?}, author = {{S}pillman, {C}. {M}. and {H}obday, {A}. {J}. and {B}ehrens, {E}. and {F}eng, {M}. and {C}apotondi, {A}. and {C}ravatte, {S}ophie and {H}olbrook, {N}. {J}. and {S}en {G}upta, {A}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}here is growing concern among decision makers in a warming world that increasing frequency and severity of extreme events, such as marine heatwaves, is making historical information less representative and useful. {T}o aid decision making in a rapidly warming ocean, researchers have developed new forecast tools that can predict marine heatwaves on sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales. {A}s demand from marine stakeholders increases for actionable information, effective transfer is paramount for uptake and response. {H}ere we consider three aspects critical to aid this information transfer. {T}he model system must be useful - having the appropriate model type, resolution, and domain, with model skill verified against observations. {T}he forecasts must be useable with skill on timescales relevant to decision making, interpretable by end users, and delivered in a practical format. {T}he forecast information must be used, which requires clear communication at appropriate levels, strong user engagement, and consideration of industry agility and incentives. {F}eedback between these three aspects is needed to ensure continuous improvement in the level of forecast usefulness, useability, and uptake. {F}orecasts are a critical tool in the management of climate risk and the framework we present here will be important for maintaining profitable and sustainable marine industries into the future.}, keywords = {{S}easonal prediction ; {S}takeholder engagement ; {A}gility ; {C}limate change ; {M}arine heatwaves ; {AUSTRALIE} ; {MONDE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{P}rogress in {O}ceanography}, volume = {234}, numero = {}, pages = {103464 [13 p.]}, ISSN = {0079-6611}, year = {2025}, DOI = {10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103464}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010093415}, }