@article{fdi:010093350,
  title = {{A} skill assessment framework for the fisheries and marine ecosystem model intercomparison project},
  author = {{R}ynne, {N}. and {N}ovaglio, {C}. and {B}lanchard, {J}. and {B}ianchi, {D}. and {C}hristensen, {V}. and {C}oll, {M}arta and {G}uiet, {J}. and {S}teenbeek, {J}. and {B}ryndum-{B}uchholz, {A}. and {E}ddy, {T}. {D}. and {H}arrison, {C}. and {M}aury, {O}livier and {O}rtega-{C}isneros, {K}. and {P}etrik, {C}. {M}. and {T}ittensor, {D}. {P}. and {H}eneghan, {R}. {F}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{U}nderstanding climate change impacts on global marine ecosystems and fisheries requires complex marine ecosystem models, forced by global climate projections, that can robustly detect and project changes. {T}he {F}isheries and {M}arine {E}cosystems {M}odel {I}ntercomparison {P}roject ({F}ish{MIP}) uses an ensemble modeling approach to fill this crucial gap. {Y}et {F}ish{MIP} does not have a standardised skill assessment framework to quantify the ability of member models to reproduce past observations and to guide model improvement. {I}n this study, we apply a comprehensive model skill assessment framework to a subset of global {F}ish{MIP} models that produce historical fisheries catches. {W}e consider a suite of metrics and assess their utility in illustrating the models' ability to reproduce observed fisheries catches. {O}ur findings reveal improvement in model performance at both global and regional ({L}arge {M}arine {E}cosystem) scales from the {C}oupled {M}odel {I}ntercomparison {P}roject {P}hase 5 and 6 simulation rounds. {O}ur analysis underscores the importance of employing easily interpretable, relative skill metrics to estimate the capability of models to capture temporal variations, alongside absolute error measures to characterize shifts in the magnitude of these variations between models and across simulation rounds. {T}he skill assessment framework developed and tested here provides a first objective assessment and a baseline of the {F}ish{MIP} ensemble's skill in reproducing historical catch at the global and regional scale. {T}his assessment can be further improved and systematically applied to test the reliability of {F}ish{MIP} models across the whole model ensemble from future simulation rounds and include more variables like fish biomass or production.},
  keywords = {model skill assessment ; {F}ish{MIP} ; {CSPS} ; ecosystem modeling ; global fisheries impact ; climactic change},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}arths {F}uture},
  volume = {13},
  numero = {4},
  pages = {e2024{EF}004868 [18 p.]},
  year = {2025},
  DOI = {10.1029/2024ef004868},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010093350},
}