@article{fdi:010093228,
  title = {{A}ssessing the adequacy of earthquake catalog sampling for long-term seismicity in low-to-moderate seismic regions : a geodetic perspective},
  author = {{J}ouve, {B}. {D}. and {M}arsan, {D}. and {S}ocquet, {A}. and {B}eauval, {C}{\'e}line},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{S}eismic hazard assessment in low-to-moderate seismicity regions can benefit from theknowledge of surface deformation rates to better constrain earthquake recurrence mod-els. {T}his, however, amounts to assuming that the known seismicity rate, generallyobserved over historical times (i.e., up to a few centuries in {E}urope), provides a represen-tative sample of the underlying long-term activity. {W}e here investigate how this limitedsampling can affect the estimated seismic hazard and whether it can explain the disagree-ment between the seismic moment loading rate as seen by nowadays {G}lobal {N}avigation{S}atellite {S}ystems ({GNSS}) measurements and the seismic moment release rate by pastearthquakes, as is sometimes observed in regions with limited activity. {W}e approach thisissue by running simulations of earthquake time series over very long timescales thataccount for temporal clustering and the known magnitude-frequency distribution in suchregions, and that those are constrained to a seismic moment rate balance between geo-detic and seismicity estimates at very long timescales. {W}e show that, in the example ofsoutheastern {S}witzerland, taken here as a case study, this sampling issue can indeedexplain this disagreement, although it is likely that other phenomena, including aseismicdeformation and changes in strain rate due to erosional and/or glacial rebound, may alsoplay a significant role in this mismatch},
  keywords = {{EUROPE} ; {SUISSE} ; {BRETAGNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{S}eismological {R}esearch {L}etters},
  volume = {95},
  numero = {6},
  pages = {3494--3506},
  ISSN = {0895-0695},
  year = {2024},
  DOI = {10.1785/0220240232},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010093228},
}