@article{fdi:010092932,
  title = {{T}he {O}cean {S}ystem {P}athways ({OSP}s) : a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries},
  author = {{M}aury, {O}livier and {T}ittensor, {D}. {P}. and {E}ddy, {T}. {D}. and {A}llison, {E}. {H}. and {B}ahri, {T}. and {B}arrier, {N}icolas and {C}ampling, {L}. and {C}heung, {W}. {W}. {L}. and {F}rieler, {K}. and {F}ulton, {E}. {A}. and {G}uillotreau, {P}atrice and {H}eneghan, {R}. {F}. and {L}am, {V}. {W}. {Y}. and {L}ecl{\`e}re, {D}. and {L}engaigne, {M}atthieu and {L}otze-{C}ampen, {H}. and {N}ovaglio, {C}. and {O}rtega-{C}isneros, {K}. and {R}ault, {J}onathan and {S}chewe, {J}. and {S}hin, {Y}unne-{J}ai and {S}loterdijk, {H}. and {S}quires, {D}. and {S}umaila, {U}. {R}. and {T}idd, {A}. {N}. and van {R}uijven, {B}. and {B}lanchard, {J}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he {F}isheries and {M}arine {E}cosystems {M}odel {I}ntercomparison {P}roject ({F}ish{MIP}) has dedicated a decade to unraveling the future impacts of climate change on marine animal biomass. {F}ish{MIP} is now preparing a new simulation protocol to assess the combined effects of both climate and socio-economic changes on marine fisheries and ecosystems. {T}his protocol will be based on the {O}cean {S}ystem {P}athways ({OSP}s), a new set of socio-economic scenarios derived from the {S}hared {S}ocioeconomic {P}athways ({SSP}s) widely used by the {I}ntergovernmental {P}anel on {C}limate {C}hange ({IPCC}). {T}he {OSP}s extend the {SSP}s to the economic, governance, management and socio-cultural contexts of large pelagic, small pelagic, benthic-demersal and emerging fisheries, as well as mariculture. {C}omprising qualitative storylines, quantitative model driver pathways and a "plug-in-model" framework, the {OSP}s will enable a heterogeneous suite of ecosystem models to simulate fisheries dynamics in a standardised way. {T}his paper introduces this {OSP} framework and the simulation protocol that {F}ish{MIP} will implement to explore future ocean social-ecological systems holistically, with a focus on critical issues such as climate justice, global food security, equitable fisheries, aquaculture development, fisheries management, and biodiversity conservation. {U}ltimately, the {OSP} framework is tailored to contribute to the synthesis work of the {IPCC}. {I}t also aims to inform ongoing policy processes within the {U}nited {N}ations {F}ood and {A}griculture {O}rganization ({FAO}). {F}inally, it seeks to support the synthesis work of the {I}ntergovernmental {S}cience-{P}olicy {P}latform on {B}iodiversity and {E}cosystem {S}ervices ({IPBES}), with a particular focus on studying pathways relevant for the {U}nited {N}ations {C}onvention on {B}iological {D}iversity.},
  keywords = {climate change impact ; marine ecosystems ; marine fisheries ; {F}ish{MIP} ; scenarios ; {SSP} ; {MONDE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}arths {F}uture},
  volume = {13},
  numero = {3},
  pages = {e2024{EF}004851 [16 p.]},
  year = {2025},
  DOI = {10.1029/2024ef004851},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010092932},
}