@article{fdi:010092922,
  title = {{H}igh temporal variability not trend dominates {M}editerranean precipitation},
  author = {{V}icente-{S}errano, {S}. {M}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {R}eig, {F}. and {G}onzález-{H}idalgo, {J}. {C}. and {B}eguería, {S}. and {B}runetti, {M}. and {K}alin, {K}. {C}. and {P}atalen, {L}. and {K}rzic, {A}. and {L}ionello, {P}. and {L}ima, {M}. {M}. and {T}rigo, {R}. {M}. and {E}l-{K}enawy, {A}. {M}. and {E}ddenjal, {A}. and {T}ürkes, {M}. and {K}outroulis, {A}. and {M}anara, {V}. and {M}augeri, {M}. and {B}adi, {W}. and {M}athbout, {S}. and {B}ertalanic, {R}. and {B}ocheva, {L}. and {D}abanli, {I}. and {D}umitrescu, {A}. and {D}ubuisson, {B}. and {S}ahabi-{A}bed, {S}. and {A}bdulla, {F}. and {F}ayad, {A}. and {H}odzic, {S}. and {I}vanov, {M}. and {R}adevski, {I}. and {P}eña-{A}ngulo, {D}. and {L}orenzo-{L}acruz, {J}. and {D}omínguez-{C}astro, {F}. and {G}imeno-{S}otelo, {L}. and {G}arcía-{H}errera, {R}. and {F}ranquesa, {M}. and {H}alifa-{M}arín, {A}. and {A}dell-{M}ichavila, {M}. and {N}oguera, {I}. and {B}arriopedro, {D}. and {G}arrido-{P}erez, {J}. {M}. and {A}zorin-{M}olina, {C}. and {A}ndres-{M}artin, {M}. and {G}imeno, {L}. and {N}ieto, {R}. and {L}lasat, {M}. {C}. and {M}arkonis, {Y}. and {S}elmi, {R}. and {B}en {R}ached, {S}. and {R}adovanovic, {S}. and {S}oubeyroux, {J}. {M}. and {R}ibes, {A}. and {S}aidi, {M}. {E}. and {B}ataineh, {S}. and {E}l {K}halki, {E}. and {R}obaa, {S}. and {B}oucetta, {A}. and {A}lsafadi, {K}. and {M}amassis, {N}. and {M}ohammed, {S}. and {F}ernández-{D}uque, {B}. and {C}heval, {S}. and {M}outia, {S}. and {S}tevkov, {A}. and {S}tevkova, {S}. and {L}una, {M}. {Y}. and {P}otopová, {V}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{S}tate-of-the-art climate models project a substantial decline in precipitation for the {M}editerranean region in the future. {S}upporting this notion, several studies based on observed precipitation data spanning recent decades have suggested a decrease in {M}editerranean precipitation, with some attributing a large fraction of this change to anthropogenic influences. {C}onversely, certain researchers have underlined that {M}editerranean precipitation exhibits considerable spatiotemporal variability driven by atmospheric circulation patterns maintaining stationarity over the long term. {T}hese conflicting perspectives underscore the need for a comprehensive assessment of precipitation changes in this region, given the profound social, economic and environmental implications. {H}ere we show that {M}editerranean precipitation has largely remained stationary from 1871 to 2020, albeit with significant multi-decadal and interannual variability. {T}his conclusion is based on the most comprehensive dataset available for the region, encompassing over 23,000 stations across 27 countries. {W}hile trends can be identified for some periods and subregions, our findings attribute these trends primarily to atmospheric dynamics, which would be mostly linked to internal variability. {F}urthermore, our assessment reconciles the observed precipitation trends with {C}oupled {M}odel {I}ntercomparison {P}roject {P}hase 6 model simulations, neither of which indicate a prevailing past precipitation trend in the region. {T}he implications of our results extend to environmental, agricultural and water resources planning in one of the world's prominent climate change hotspots10.},
  keywords = {{PAYS} {MEDITERRANEENS} ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{N}ature},
  volume = {639},
  numero = {},
  pages = {658--666 + 10 p.},
  ISSN = {0028-0836},
  year = {2025},
  DOI = {10.1038/s41586-024-08576-6},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010092922},
}