@article{fdi:010092717,
  title = {{I}mpact of climate change on the dynamics of the {S}outhern {S}enegal upwelling center},
  author = {{N}doye, {S}. and {E}chevin, {V}incent and {M}ignot, {J}uliette and {C}apet, {X}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he {C}anary current upwelling {S}ystem ({CCS}) is one the most productive marine ecosystems. {CMIP}5 simulations under the {RCP}8.5 scenario for the end of the 21st century project a modest upwelling-favorable wind decrease over the {CCS} southern outpost, that is, the southern senegalese upwelling center ({SSUC}). {W}e explore the coastal-scale physical manifestations of climate change in the {SSUC} through dynamical downscaling of projected changes from nine {CMIP}5 models selected for their realistic representation of present-day thermohaline structure. {W}e find that coastal upwelling reduction due to wind changes is projected to be aggravated by geostrophic/pressure adjustments related, in large part, to changes in upper ocean stratification. {T}he reduction could reach 25% of present-day upwelling rates. {T}he intensity of the poleward boundary current offshore of the {SSUC} is projected to decrease. {T}ogether with upper ocean warming this opens vast possibilities of ecological evolutions with large impact on neighboring societies.},
  keywords = {coastal dynamics ; climate change ; upwelling ; downscaling ; modeling ; {SSUC} ; {CAP} {VERT} ; {ATLANTIQUE} ; {CANARIAS} ; {CANARIES} {COURANT}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{G}eophysical {R}esearch {L}etters},
  volume = {52},
  numero = {2},
  pages = {e2024{GL}112582 [11 ]},
  ISSN = {0094-8276},
  year = {2025},
  DOI = {10.1029/2024gl112582},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010092717},
}