@article{fdi:010091520,
  title = {{H}uman land occupation regulates the effect of the climate on the burned area of the {B}razilian {C}errado},
  author = {{S}egura-{G}arcia, {C}. and {B}auman, {D}avid and {A}rruda, {V}era {L}.{S}. and {A}lencar, {A}.{A}.{C}. and {O}liveras {M}enor, {I}mma},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{H}uman activities and climate change are transforming fire regimes globally. {T}he interaction between these two drivers is poorly understood, yet critical if we aim at predicting how biomes will respond to novel fire regimes. {I}n the {B}razilian {C}errado, altered fire regimes are threatening its unique biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. {H}ere, using geospatial data for the period 1985-2020 and a causal inference framework to design {B}ayesian statistical models, we demonstrate that a larger human presence in the landscape (>= 40% land-use area) reduces the {C}errado's burned area and hinders its responsiveness to climate; while climatic effects only become apparent in landscapes with little human presence, where hotter and drier conditions increase burned area. {F}inally, we find spatially heterogeneous burned area trends over time, with increases associated to climate change in landscapes that have remained mostly intact, and decreases caused by anthropic expansion. {B}oth diverging trends have important implications for the conservation of the {C}errado as land-use expansion and climate change continue to unfold. {I}n landscapes with 40% or more human land-use area, humans decrease the {B}razilian {C}errado's burned area and hinder its climate responsiveness, while climate effects are more noticeable in smaller human-influenced areas, according to a causal inference framework analysis.},
  keywords = {{BRESIL} ; {CERRADO}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{C}ommunications {E}arth and {E}nvironment},
  volume = {5},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {361 [10 ]},
  ISSN = {2662-4435},
  year = {2024},
  DOI = {10.1038/s43247-024-01521-5},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010091520},
}