%0 Journal Article %9 ACL : Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture répertoriées par l'AERES %A Novaglio, C. %A Bryndum-Buchholz, A. %A Tittensor, D. P. %A Eddy, T. D. %A Lotze, H. K. %A Harrison, C. S. %A Heneghan, R. F. %A Maury, Olivier %A Ortega-Cisneros, K. %A Petrik, C. M. %A Roberts, K. E. %A Blanchard, J. L. %T The past and future of the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project %D 2024 %L fdi:010091279 %G ENG %J Earths Future %K skill assessment ; ensemble modeling ; socio-economic scenarios ; food ; security ; biodiversity ; fishmip %K MONDE %M ISI:001303081200001 %N 9 %P e2023EF004398 [13 ] %R 10.1029/2023ef004398 %U https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010091279 %> https://horizon.documentation.ird.fr/exl-doc/pleins_textes/2024-10/010091279.pdf %V 12 %W Horizon (IRD) %X Climate change is increasingly affecting the world's ocean ecosystems, necessitating urgent guidance on adaptation strategies to limit or prevent catastrophic impacts. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) is a network and framework that provides standardised ensemble projections of the impacts of climate change and fisheries on ocean life and the benefits that it provides to people. Since its official launch in 2013 as a small, self-organized project within the larger Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project, the FishMIP community has grown substantially and contributed to key international policy processes, such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Report, and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Global Biodiversity Assessment. While not without challenges, particularly around comparing heterogeneous ecosystem models, integrating fisheries scenarios, and standardising regional-scale ecosystem models, FishMIP outputs are now being used across a variety of applications (e.g., climate change targets, fisheries management, marine conservation, Sustainable Development Goals). Over the next decade, FishMIP will focus on improving ecosystem model ensembles to provide more robust and policy-relevant projections for different regions of the world under multiple climate and societal change scenarios, and continue to be open to a broad spectrum of marine ecosystem models and modelers. FishMIP also intends to enhance leadership diversity and capacity-building to improve representation of early- and mid-career researchers from under-represented countries and ocean regions. As we look ahead, FishMIP aims to continue enhancing our understanding of how marine life and its contributions to people may change over the coming century at both global and regional scales. The world's oceans are experiencing significant changes due to climate impacts, which are affecting marine ecosystems and fisheries. To address these challenges, the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) was launched in 2013. FishMIP brings together scientists to develop standardised projections of how climate change and fishing activities will impact ocean life and the benefits people get from fisheries. Despite some difficulties in comparing different ecosystem models and integrating fisheries scenarios, FishMIP's outputs are now informing various policy areas such as setting climate targets, managing fisheries, food security, and conserving marine environments. Over the next 10 years, FishMIP plans to improve its model ensembles to provide more reliable projections for different regions under various climate and societal change scenarios. Additionally, FishMIP aims to increase diversity in leadership and capacity-building to involve more researchers from under-represented countries and regions. Looking forward, FishMIP will continue to foster a global community of ecosystem and climate modelers, to enhance our understanding of how marine ecosystems and their benefits to people might change in the future, both globally and locally. There is an urgent need for policy to develop strategies to adapt to the impacts of climate change on ecosystems and their services The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project has contributed understanding of climate impacts on marine ecosystems The next 10 years will see the improved FishMIP ensemble model pushing the boundaries of the field and increasing policy-relevant outputs %$ 040 ; 020