@article{fdi:010088237, title = {{P}rediction of land use and land cover change in two watersheds in the {S}enegal {R}iver basin ({W}est {A}frica) using the {M}ultilayer {P}erceptron and {M}arkov chain model}, author = {{S}ambou, {M}. {H}. {A}. and {A}lbergel, {J}ean and {V}issin, {E}. {W}. and {L}iersch, {S}. and {K}och, {H}. and {S}zantoi, {Z}. and {B}aba, {W}. and {S}ane, {M}. {L}. and {T}oure, {I}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{L}and use and {L}and cover change ({LULCC}) is a major global problem, and projecting change is critical for policy decision-making. {U}nderstanding {LULCC}s at the watershed level is essential for transboundary river basin management. {T}he present study aims to analyse the past and future {LULCC}s in two significant watersheds of the {S}enegal {R}iver basin ({SRB}) in {W}est {A}frica: {B}afing and {F}aleme. {T}his study used {L}andsat images from 1986, 2006 and 2020 and the {R}andom {F}orest classification method to analyze past {LULCC}s in these two watersheds. {T}he results revealed: {I}n {B}afing, vegetation, settlement, agricultural areas and water increased, while the bareground decreased significantly between 1986-2020. {I}n {F}aleme, two periods have different trends. {B}etween 1986-2006, vegetation, settlement, agricultural areas and water increased, while bareground decreased. {B}etween 2006-2020, settlement increased, while vegetation, agricultural areas, water and bareground decreased. {T}o predict {LULCC}s in 2050 under business-as-usual assumptions, the {M}ultilayer {P}erceptron and {M}arcov {C}hain model ({MLP}-{MC}) was used. {T}he {MLP}-{MC} shows better results on {B}afing than on {F}aleme but without questioning its application on the two watersheds. {B}afing has seen a trend towards "more people, more trees", while {F}aleme has seen a trend towards "more people, more deforestation". {T}hese results contribute to develop appropriate land management policies and strategies to achieve or to maintain sustainable development in the {SRB}.}, keywords = {{L}and use land cover change ; multi-temporal analysis ; {MLP}-{MC} ; {R}andom ; forest ; {S}enegal river basin ; {SENEGAL} ; {SENEGAL} {BASSIN}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{E}uropean {J}ournal of {R}emote {S}ensing}, volume = {56}, numero = {1}, pages = {2231137 [18 ]}, year = {2023}, DOI = {10.1080/22797254.2023.2231137}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010088237}, }