@article{fdi:010088220,
  title = {{P}hytoplankton adaptive resilience to climate change collapses in case of extreme events : a modeling study},
  author = {{S}auterey, {B}. and {L}e {G}land, {G}. and {C}ermeno, {P}. and {A}umont, {O}livier and {L}evy, {M}arina and {V}allina, {S}. {M}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{A}s climate change unravels, ecosystems are facing a warming of the climate and an increase in extreme heat events that are unprecedented in recent geological history. {W}e know very little of the ability of oceanic phytoplankton communities, key players in the regulation of {E}arth's climate by the oceans, to adapt to these changes. {Q}uantifying the resilience of phytoplankton communities to environmental stressors by means of adaptive evolution is however crucial to accurately predict the response of marine ecosystems to climate change. {I}n this work, we use an eco-evolutionary model to simulate the adaptive response of marine phytoplankton to temperature changes in an initially temperate oligotrophic water-column. {B}y exploring a wide range of scenarios of phytoplankton adaptive capacity, we find that phytoplankton can adapt to temperature increases -even very large ones- as long as they occur over the time scale of a century. {H}owever, when rapid and extreme events of temperature change are considered, the phytoplankton adaptive capacity breaks down in a number of our scenarios in which primary productivity plummets as a result. {T}his suggests that current {E}arth {S}ystem {M}odels assuming perfect phytoplankton adaptatedness to temperature might be overestimating the phytoplankton's resilience to climate change.},
  keywords = {{M}arine phytoplankton ; {A}daptation ; {C}limate change ; {R}esilience ; {P}rimary productivity},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}cological {M}odelling},
  volume = {483},
  numero = {},
  pages = {110437 [9 p.]},
  ISSN = {0304-3800},
  year = {2023},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2023.110437},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010088220},
}