@article{fdi:010087708, title = {{D}ifferences in recent and future trends in the {A}rabian {S}ea oxygen minimum zone : processes and uncertainties}, author = {{L}achkar, {Z}. and {L}evy, {M}arina and {H}ailegeorgis, {D}. and {V}allivattathillam, {P}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he {A}rabian {S}ea is an exceptionally complex system that hosts a highly productive marine ecosystem. {T}his intense productivity leads to high oxygen consumption at depth that maintains, together with the sluggish circulation, the world's thickest oxygen minimum zone ({OMZ}). {W}hile observations have been scarce in the region, evidence for a recent (1960-2020) decline in oxygen is emerging in the northern {A}rabian {S}ea. {H}owever, in the longer term (2050 to 2100) the future evolution of the {OMZ} is more uncertain, as the model projections that have been carried out are not consistent with each other. {O}n the one hand, this reflects the limitations of current generation models that do not adequately represent key physical and biogeochemical processes, resulting in large {O}-2 biases in the region under present-day conditions. {O}n the other hand, the inherent difficulty of predicting future {O}-2 conditions in the {A}rabian {S}ea is a consequence of the sensitivity of {O}-2 supply and consumption to local and remote changes that evolve on different timescales. {H}ere we aim to synthesize current knowledge of the {A}rabian {S}ea {OMZ} in relation to important factors controlling its intensity and review its recent change and potential future evolution. {I}n particular, we explore potential causes of the differences in recent and future {O}-2 trends in the region and identify key challenges to our ability to project future {OMZ} changes and discuss ideas for the way forward.}, keywords = {{A}rabian {S}ea oxygen minimum zone ; ocean deoxygenation ; oxygen trends ; ocean ventilation and oxygenation ; denitrification ; {OCEAN} {INDIEN} ; {ARABIE} {MER}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{F}rontiers in {M}arine {S}cience}, volume = {10}, numero = {}, pages = {1122043 [14 p.]}, year = {2023}, DOI = {10.3389/fmars.2023.1122043}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010087708}, }