@article{fdi:010086801,
  title = {{S}oil erosion under future climate change scenarios in a semi-arid region},
  author = {{E}laloui, {A}. and {E}l {K}halki, {E}. and {N}amous, {M}. and {Z}iadi, {K}. and {E}loudi, {H}. and {F}aouzi, {E}. and {B}ou-{I}majjane, {L}. and {K}arroum, {M}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {B}oudhar, {A}. and {C}hehbouni, {A}bdelghani},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he {M}editerranean {R}egion is presumed to be one of the locations where climate change will have the most effect. {T}his impacts natural resources and increases the extent and severity of natural disasters, in general, and soil water erosion in particular. {T}he focus of this research was to assess how climate change might affect the rate of soil erosion in a watershed in the {H}igh {A}tlas of {M}orocco. {F}or this purpose, high-resolution precipitation and temperature data (12.5 x 12.5 km) were collected from {EURO}-{CORDEX} regional climate model ({RCM}) simulations for the baseline period, 1976-2005, and future periods, 2030-2060 and 2061-2090. {I}n addition, three maps were created for slopes, land cover, and geology, while the observed erosion process in the catchment was determined following field observations. {T}he erosion potential model ({EPM}) was then used to assess the impacts of precipitation and temperature variations on the soil erosion rate. {U}ntil the end of the 21st century, the results showed a decrease in annual precipitation of -32% and -46% under {RCP} 4.5 for the periods 2030-2060 and 2061-2090, respectively, -28% and -56% under {RCP} 8.5 for the same periods, respectively, and a large increase in temperature of +2.8 degrees {C} and +4.1 degrees {C} for the {RCP} 4.5 scenario, and +3.1 degrees {C} and +5.2 degrees {C} for the {RCP} 8.5 scenario for the periods 2030-2060 and 2061-2090, respectively. {T}he aforementioned changes are anticipated to significantly increase the soil erosion potential rate, by +97.11 m(3)/km(2)/year by 2060, and +76.06 m(3)/km(2)/year by 2090, under the {RCP} 4.5 scenario. {T}he {RCP} 8.5 predicts a rise of +124.64 m(3)/km(2)/year for the period 2030-2060, but a drop of -123.82 m(3)/km(2)/year for the period 2060-2090.},
  keywords = {soil erosion rates ; climate change ; {RCP} 4.5 ; {RCP} 8.5 ; {EPM} model ; {H}igh {A}tlas ; {M}orocco ; {MAROC} ; {ZONE} {SEMIARIDE} ; {HAUT} {ATLAS}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{W}ater},
  volume = {15},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {146 [20 ]},
  year = {2023},
  DOI = {10.3390/w15010146},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010086801},
}