Guillotreau Patrice auteur aut IRD Lantz F. auteur aut IRD Nadzon L. auteur aut IRD Rault Jonathan auteur aut IRD Maury Olivier auteur aut IRD text journalArticle eng text/pdf born digital access Because most food processes are fossil fuel-based, many food markets are more or less connected to the oil market. Fishing technology in the high seas being energy-intensive, higher oil prices should affect the fish markets. This research looks at price transmission between marine diesel oil and a global fishery commodity, frozen skipjack tuna (Katsuwonus pelamis) through a time series analysis combining four different methods to look for possible structural breaks and regime shifts in the relationship (Bai-Perron, Lavielle, Gregory-Hansen, Markov-switching). Our results prove that the long-run equilibrium between both prices is weakening after the turn of the 2010s. Explaining the drivers of change is of great interest for short-term forecast but also to build long-term scenarios where both supply and demand variables are likely to affect tuna markets. specialized Cointegration oil and tuna markets regime shift structural breaks MONDE 040 096 38 1 29-46 2023 0738-1360 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010086753 10.1086/722490 0738-1360 [F B010086753] https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010086753 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/2023-02/010086753.pdf Accès réservé (Intranet de l'IRD) IRD - Base Horizon / Pleins textes 2023-02-08 2025-02-24 fdi:010086753 fre