@article{fdi:010086688, title = {{P}lant hydraulic modelling of leaf and canopy fuel moisture content reveals increasing vulnerability of a {M}editerranean forest to wildfires under extreme drought}, author = {{R}uffault, {J}. and {L}imousin, {J}. {M}. and {P}imont, {F}. and {D}upuy, {J}. {L}. and {D}e {C}aceres, {M}. and {C}ochard, {H}. and {M}ouillot, {F}lorent and {B}lackman, {C}. {J}. and {T}orres-{R}uiz, {J}. {M}. and {P}arsons, {R}. {A}. and {M}oreno, {M}. and {D}elzon, {S}. and {J}ansen, {S}. and {O}lioso, {A}. and {C}hoat, {B}. and {M}artin-{S}t{P}aul, {N}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{F}uel moisture content ({FMC}) is a crucial driver of forest fires in many regions world-wide. {Y}et, the dynamics of {FMC} in forest canopies as well as their physiological and environmental determinants remain poorly understood, especially under extreme drought.{W}e embedded a {FMC} module in the trait-based, plant-hydraulic {S}ur{E}au-{E}cos model to provide innovative process-based predictions of leaf live fuel moisture content ({LFMC}) and canopy fuel moisture content ({CFMC}) based on leaf water potential (psi {L}eaf$$ {\psi}_{\mathrm{{L}eaf}} $$). {S}ur{E}au-{E}cos-{FMC} relies on pressure-volume (p-v) curves to simulate {LFMC} and vulnerability curves to cavitation to simulate foliage mortality.{S}ur{E}au-{E}cos-{FMC} accurately reproduced psi {L}eaf$$ {\psi}_{\mathrm{{L}eaf}} $$ and {LFMC} dynamics as well as the occurrence of foliage mortality in a {M}editerranean {Q}uercus ilex forest. {S}everal traits related to water use (leaf area index, available soil water, and transpiration regulation), vulnerability to cavitation, and p-v curves (full turgor osmotic potential) had the greatest influence on {LFMC} and {CFMC} dynamics. {A}s the climate gets drier, our results showed that drought-induced foliage mortality is expected to increase, thereby significantly decreasing {CFMC}.{O}ur results represent an important advance in our capacity to understand and predict the sensitivity of forests to wildfires.}, keywords = {climate change ; drought ; forest flammability ; live fuel moisture ; content ; plant hydraulics ; process-based modelling ; tree mortality ; wildfire ; {FRANCE} ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{N}ew {P}hytologist}, volume = {[{E}arly access]}, numero = {}, pages = {[14 p.]}, ISSN = {0028-646{X}}, year = {2023}, DOI = {10.1111/nph.18614}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010086688}, }