@article{fdi:010085345,
  title = {{I}mpact of end-of-century climate change on priority non-timber forest product species across tropical {A}frica},
  author = {{A}moussoul, {B}. {E}. {N}. and {I}dohou, {R}. and {K}akai, {R}. {G}. and {D}auby, {G}illes and {C}ouvreur, {T}homas},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{P}lant species providing {N}on-{T}imber {F}orest {P}roducts ({NTFP}) are economically important across {A}frica. {H}ow this heterogeneous and understudied resource will respond to ongoing climate change remains understudied. {H}ere, we modelled the impact of end-of-the-century climate change on the distribution of 40 {NTFP} plant species distributed across tropical {A}frica. {O}ccurrence data were extracted from a taxonomically verified database and three different ecological niche modelling algorithms were used. {S}pecies distributions were modelled under two end-of-century (2085) climate change models ({RCP}4.5 and {RCP}8.5) and two dispersal scenarios (limited and expanded). {W}e show that for the 40 {NTFP} plant species studied here, different responses are modelled with some species gaining in suitable habitats (47.5%-65% under {RCP}4.5), whereas others will lose in suitable habitats (35%-52.5% under {RCP}4.5). {N}evertheless, we also show that our results vary between the different methods used, such as modelling algorithms, dispersal scenarios and general circulation models. {O}verall, our results suggest that the response of {NTFP} species to climate change depends on their distribution, ecology and dispersal ability.},
  keywords = {dispersal ; {NTFP} ; representative concentration pathways ; species ; distribution modelling ; {AFRIQUE} {SUBSAHARIENNE} ; {ZONE} {TROPICALE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{A}frican {J}ournal of {E}cology},
  volume = {[{E}arly access]},
  numero = {},
  pages = {[13 ]},
  ISSN = {0141-6707},
  year = {2022},
  DOI = {10.1111/aje.13034},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010085345},
}