@article{fdi:010084759, title = {{E}cological and genomic vulnerability to climate change across native populations of {R}obusta coffee ({C}offea canephora)}, author = {{T}ournebize, {R}{\'e}mi and {B}orner, {L}. and {M}anel, {S}. and {M}eynard, {C}. {N}. and {V}igouroux, {Y}ves and {C}rouzillat, {D}. and {F}ournier, {C}. and {K}assam, {M}. and {D}escombes, {P}. and {D}ubreuil {T}ranchant, {C}hristine and {P}arrinello, {H}. and {K}iwuka, {C}. and {S}umirat, {U}. and {L}egnate, {H}. and {K}ambale, {J}. {L}. and {S}onke, {B}. and {M}ahinga, {J}. {C}. and {M}usoli, {P}. and {J}anssens, {S}. {B}. and {S}toffelen, {P}. and {K}ochko, {A}lexandre de and {P}oncet, {V}al{\'e}rie}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}he assessment of population vulnerability under climate change is crucial for planning conservation as well as for ensuring food security. {C}offea canephora is, in its native habitat, an understorey tree that is mainly distributed in the lowland rainforests of tropical {A}frica. {A}lso known as {R}obusta, its commercial value constitutes a significant revenue for many human populations in tropical countries. {C}omparing ecological and genomic vulnerabilities within the species' native range can provide valuable insights about habitat loss and the species' adaptive potential, allowing to identify genotypes that may act as a resource for varietal improvement. {B}y applying species distribution models, we assessed ecological vulnerability as the decrease in climatic suitability under future climatic conditions from 492 occurrences. {W}e then quantified genomic vulnerability (or risk of maladaptation) as the allelic composition change required to keep pace with predicted climate change. {G}enomic vulnerability was estimated from genomic environmental correlations throughout the native range. {S}uitable habitat was predicted to diminish to half its size by 2050, with populations near coastlines and around the {C}ongo {R}iver being the most vulnerable. {W}hole-genome sequencing revealed 165 candidate {SNP}s associated with climatic adaptation in {C}. canephora, which were located in genes involved in plant response to biotic and abiotic stressors. {G}enomic vulnerability was higher for populations in {W}est {A}frica and in the region at the border between {DRC} and {U}ganda. {D}espite an overall low correlation between genomic and ecological vulnerability at broad scale, these two components of vulnerability overlap spatially in ways that may become damaging. {G}enomic vulnerability was estimated to be 23% higher in populations where habitat will be lost in 2050 compared to regions where habitat will remain suitable. {T}hese results highlight how ecological and genomic vulnerabilities are relevant when planning on how to cope with climate change regarding an economically important species.}, keywords = {adaptation ; {A}frican rainforests ; climate change ; {C}offea canephora ; conservation ; ecological vulnerability ; genomic vulnerability ; species ; distribution model}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{G}lobal {C}hange {B}iology}, volume = {[{E}arly access]}, numero = {}, pages = {[19 ]}, ISSN = {1354-1013}, year = {2022}, DOI = {10.1111/gcb.16191}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010084759}, }