@article{fdi:010084304,
  title = {{M}odeling long term response of environmental flow attributes to future climate change in a {N}orth {A}frican watershed ({B}ouregreg watershed, {M}orocco)},
  author = {{B}rouziyne, {Y}. and {B}elaqziz, {S}. and {B}enaabidate, {L}. and {A}boubdillah, {A}. and {E}l {B}ilali, {A}. and {E}lbeltagi, {A}. and {T}zoraki, {O}. and {C}hehbouni, {A}bdelghani},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{E}nvironmental flows are unanimously considered to be one of the most comprehensive indicators of the rivers health and their capacities to provide ecosystem goods and services. {I}n this study, the objective was to predict the response of environmental flow components in a typical {N}orth {A}frican rivers network to future climate change. {T}he study watershed is {B}ouregreg watershed ({BW}) in {M}orocco. {T}o achieve this objective, a hybrid approach was build based on the semi-distributed model {S}oil and {W}ater {A}ssessment {T}ool ({SWAT}) and the {I}ndicators of {H}ydrologic {A}lteration program ({IHA}). {D}ata of two emissions scenarios ({RCP}4.5 and {RCP}8.5) from a downscaled {G}lobal {C}irculation {M}odel were used to force the hybrid {SWAT}-{IHA} to calculate modifications of {BW}'s environmental flow components in 2085-2100 period. {R}esults showed that {BW} will experience climatic changes under both scenarios. {M}ost of the environmental flow attributes will be modified within the study period: loss of natural flow variability due to shift in exceedance probability of low flows (up to 40%), decrease of monthly low flows, forward shift in high flow timing (up to 50%), and alteration of both the duration and the rise rates of floods. {BW}'s streams responded unequally to the simulated changes in terms of the altered attributes as well as the degree of the alteration. {T}his study confirmed the ability of the developed modeling approach to monitor environmental flow parameters for the first time in {M}orocco, and contributed in highlighting the necessity of proactive long term strategies to protect riverine ecosystems in {N}orth {A}frica watersheds.},
  keywords = {{C}limate change ; environmental flow ; {B}ouregreg watershed ; {SWAT} ; {IHA} ; {MAROC}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}cohydrology and {H}ydrobiology},
  volume = {22},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {155--167},
  ISSN = {1642-3593},
  year = {2022},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.ecohyd.2021.08.005},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010084304},
}