@book{fdi:010082485, title = {{D}emography and economic emergence of sub-saharan {A}frica}, author = {{M}ay, {J}.{F}. and {G}uengant, {J}ean-{P}ierre}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{A}bout 35 years later than in the other less developed countries, high mortality and fertility levels have started to decline in the 48 countries of sub-{S}aharan {A}frica ({SSA}). {T}he late completion of the demographic transition in the region, its slow pace, and its population growth rates over 2.5% per year for more than 50 years, render the {SSA} demographic trajectories very different from the transitions experienced elsewhere in the world. {W}ith the onset of the fertility decline and better economic performance in {SSA} between 2000 and 2014, most {SSA} countries thought that they would be able to capture a first demographic dividend and become emerging economies - a process that many {E}ast and {S}outheast {A}sian countries achieved between 1970 and 2000. {H}owever, available data indicates that since the 1960s the rapid population growth in {SSA} has had negative effects on the growth of its {GDP} per capita. {M}oreover, so far there are only fourteen {SSA} countries, representing 20% of the {SSA} population, that meet the initial conditions needed to benefit from a first demographic dividend. {T}his volume analyzes the challenges that the {SSA} countries will need to address in order to replicate the {E}ast and {S}outheast {A}sian economic miracle. {T}he majority of the {SSA} countries are at a critical stage in their development. {I}ndeed, the next decades will determine whether or not the {SSA} countries will be able to accelerate their demographic transition, capture a first demographic dividend, and become emerging economies.}, keywords = {{AFRIQUE} {SUBSAHARIENNE}}, address = {{B}ruxelles}, publisher = {{A}cad{\'e}mie {R}oyale de {B}elgique}, series = {{P}ocket {B}ook {A}cademy}, pages = {144}, year = {2020}, ISBN = {978-2-8031-0753-7}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010082485}, }