@article{fdi:010081358,
  title = {{O}ptimizing the early detection of low pathogenic avian influenza {H}7{N}9 virus in live bird markets},
  author = {{G}uinat, {C}. and {T}ago, {D}. and {C}orre, {T}. and {S}elinger, {C}hristian and {D}jidjou-{D}emasse, {R}ams{\`e}s and {P}aul, {M}. and {R}aboisson, {D}. and {T}hanh, {T}. {N}. {T}. and {I}nui, {K}. and {T}hanh, {L}. {P}. and {P}adungtod, {P}. and {V}ergne, {T}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{I}n {S}outheast {A}sia, surveillance at live bird markets ({LBM}s) has been identified as crucial for detecting avian influenza viruses ({AIV}) and reducing the risk of human infections. {H}owever, the design of effective surveillance systems in {LBM}s remains complex given the rapid turn-over of poultry. {W}e developed a deterministic transmission model to provide guidance for optimizing {AIV} surveillance efforts. {T}he model was calibrated to fit one of the largest {LBM}s in northern {V}ietnam at high risk of low pathogenic {H}7{N}9 virus introduction from {C}hina to identify the surveillance strategy that optimizes {H}7{N}9 detection. {R}esults show that (i) using a portable diagnostic device would slightly reduce the number of infected birds leaving the {LBM} before the first detection, as compared to a laboratory-based diagnostic strategy, (ii) {H}7{N}9 detection could become more timely by sampling birds staying overnight, just before new susceptible birds are introduced at the beginning of a working day, and (iii) banning birds staying overnight would represent an effective intervention to reduce the risk of {H}7{N}9 spread but would decrease the likelihood of virus detection if introduced. {T}hese strategies should receive high priority in {V}ietnam and other {A}sian countries at risk of {H}7{N}9 introduction.},
  keywords = {transmission model ; surveillance strategies ; live-bird markets ; {VIET} {NAM} ; {CHINE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{J}ournal of the {R}oyal {S}ociety {I}nterface},
  volume = {18},
  numero = {178},
  pages = {20210074 [9 ]},
  ISSN = {1742-5689},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.1098/rsif.2021.0074},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010081358},
}