<?xml version="1.0"?>
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:title>Present and future high-resolution climate forcings over semiarid catchments : case of the Tensift (Morocco)</dc:title>
  <dc:creator>Moucha, A.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Hanich, L.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>/Tramblay, Yves</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Saaidi, A.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Gascoin, S.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Martin, E.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>/Le Page, Michel</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Bouras, E.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Szczypta, C.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>/Jarlan, Lionel</dc:creator>
  <dc:subject>ZONE MEDITERRANEENNE</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>SAFRAN</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>MicroMet</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>Euro-CORDEX</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>regional climate modelling</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>Mediterranean</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>semiarid</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>quantile&amp;#8211</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>quantile</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>disaggregation</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>climate change</dc:subject>
  <dc:subject>MODIS snow cover fraction</dc:subject>
  <dc:description>In semiarid areas, the climate is characterized by strong spatiotemporal variability while the meteorological ground network is often very sparse. In this context, the spatial distribution of meteorological variables is thus a real issue for watershed hydrology, agronomy and the study of surface-atmosphere retroaction in these regions. The aim of this study is twofold: (1) to evaluate and to adapt a reanalysis system "Systeme d'Analyse Fournissant des Renseignements Adaptes a la Nivologie" (SAFRAN) to map the meteorological variables on the Tensift catchment (Morocco) between 2004 and 2014; (2) to project temperature and precipitation for the 2041-2060 horizon at high-resolution based on the Euro-CORDEX database at 12 km resolution (using two Representative Concentration Pathway -RCPs- scenarios and four Regional Climate Models), on the SAFRAN reanalysis and on a network of meteorological stations. SAFRAN was assessed: (1) based on leave-one-out for a station located in the plain and another in the mountains; (2) by comparison to another re-analysis system named the Meteorological Distribution System for High-Resolution Terrestrial Modeling (MicroMet); (3) by comparison to in situ measurements of snowfall at one station and to the daily Snow Cover Area derived from the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) product at the catchment scale. The evaluation of the SAFRAN reanalysis showed that an irregular grid up to 1 km resolution is better for reproducing meteorological variables than the regular version of SAFRAN at 8 km, especially in mountains. The projection of the SAFRAN forcing is conducted in three steps corresponding to the three subsections below: (1) disaggregation of the Euro-CORDEX climate scenarios using the Q-Q approach based on stations data; (2) computation of the spatialized delta-change between historical and future Euro-CORDEX runs after Q-Q correction; (3) futurization of SAFRAN using the spatialized delta change values. The mountainous area is expected to face a higher increase in air temperature than the plains, reaching +2.5 degrees C for RCP8.5 and +1.71 degrees C for RCP4.5 over 2041-2060. This warming will be accompanied by a marked decrease in precipitation (-16% for RCP8.5). These present and future spatialized data sets should be useful for impact studies, in particular those focusing on water resources.</dc:description>
  <dc:date>2021</dc:date>
  <dc:type>text</dc:type>
  <dc:identifier>https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010081153</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>fdi:010081153</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>Moucha A., Hanich L., Tramblay Yves, Saaidi A., Gascoin S., Martin E., Le Page Michel, Bouras E., Szczypta C., Jarlan Lionel. Present and future high-resolution climate forcings over semiarid catchments : case of the Tensift (Morocco). 2021, 12 (3), 370 [23 ]</dc:identifier>
  <dc:language>EN</dc:language>
  <dc:coverage>MAROC</dc:coverage>
  <dc:coverage>TENSIFT</dc:coverage>
  <dc:coverage>ZONE ARIDE</dc:coverage>
  <dc:coverage>ZONE SEMIARIDE</dc:coverage>
</oai_dc:dc>
