@article{fdi:010081060,
  title = {{M}odeling the response of soil moisture to climate variability in the {M}editerranean region},
  author = {{M}imeau, {L}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {B}rocca, {L}. and {M}assari, {C}. and {C}amici, {S}. and {F}inaud-{G}uyot, {P}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{F}uture climate scenarios for the {M}editerranean region indicate a possible decrease in annual precipitation associated with an intensification of extreme rainfall events in the coming years. {A} major challenge in this region is to evaluate the impacts of changing precipitation patterns on extreme hydrological events such as droughts and floods. {F}or this, it is important to understand the impact of climate change on soil moisture since it is a proxy for agricultural droughts, and the antecedent soil moisture condition plays a key role on runoff generation. {T}his study focuses on 10 sites, located in southern {F}rance, with available soil moisture, temperature, and precipitation observations for a 10-year time period. {S}oil moisture is simulated at each site at the hourly time step using a model of soil water content. {T}he sensitivity of the simulated soil moisture to different changes in precipitation and temperature is evaluated by simulating the soil moisture response to temperature and precipitation scenarios generated using a delta change method for temperature and a stochastic model (the {N}eyman-{S}cott rectangular pulse model) for precipitation. {R}esults show that soil moisture is more impacted by changes in precipitation intermittence than precipitation intensity and temperature. {O}verall, increased temperature and precipitation intensity associated with more intermittent precipitation leads to decreased soil moisture and an increase in the annual number of days with dry soil moisture conditions. {I}n particular, a temperature increase of +4 degrees {C} combined with a decrease of annual rainfall between 10 % and 20 %, corresponding to the current available climate scenarios for the {M}editerranean, lead to a lengthening of the drought period from {J}une to {O}ctober with an average of +28 d of soil moisture drought per year.},
  keywords = {{FRANCE} ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{H}ydrology and {E}arth {S}ystem {S}ciences},
  volume = {25},
  numero = {2},
  pages = {653--669},
  ISSN = {1027-5606},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.5194/hess-25-653-2021},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010081060},
}