@article{fdi:010080989,
  title = {{H}igh-resolution topographic variables accurately predict the distribution of rare plant species for conservation area selection in a narrow-endemism hotspot in {N}ew {C}aledonia},
  author = {{L}annuzel, {G}. and {B}almot, {J}. and {D}ubos, {N}. and {T}hibault, {M}artin and {F}ogliani, {B}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{S}pecies distribution models ({SDM}s) represent a widely acknowledged tool to identify priority areas on the basis of occurrence data and environmental factors. {H}owever, high levels of topographical and climatic micro-variation are a hindrance to reliably modelling the distribution of narrow-endemic species when based on classic occurrence and climate datasets. {H}ere, we used high-resolution environmental variables and occurrence data obtained from dedicated field studies to produce accurate {SDM}s at a local scale. {W}e modelled the potential current distribution of 23 of the 25 rarest species from {M}ount {K}aala, a hotspot of narrow-endemism in {N}ew {C}aledonia, using occurrence data from two recent sampling campaigns, and eight high-resolution (10 m and 30 m) environmental predictors in a {S}pecies {D}istribution {M}odelling framework. {A}fter a first sampling operation, we surveyed six additional areas containing, overall, 13 of the 20 species modelled at this stage, to validate our projections where the highest species richness levels were predicted. {T}he ability of our method to define conservation areas was largely validated with an average 84% of predicted species found in the validation areas, and additional data collected enabling us to model three more species. {W}e therefore identified the areas of highest conservation value for the whole of {M}ount {K}aala. {O}ur results support the ability of {SDM}s based on presence-only data such as {M}ax{E}nt to predict areas of high conservation value using fine-resolution environmental layers and field-collected occurrence data in the context of small and heterogeneous systems such as tropical islands.},
  keywords = {{D}igital elevation models ; {F}ield validation ; {I}slands ; {M}ax{E}nt ; {N}arrow-endemism ; {NOUVELLE} {CALEDONIE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{B}iodiversity and {C}onservation},
  volume = {30},
  numero = {4},
  pages = {963--990},
  ISSN = {0960-3115},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.1007/s10531-021-02126-6},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010080989},
}