@article{fdi:010080953,
  title = {{S}ynergistic impacts of global warming and thermohaline circulation collapse on amphibians},
  author = {{V}elasco, {J}. {A}. and {E}strada, {F}. and {C}alderon-{B}ustamante, {O}. and {S}wingedouw, {D}. and {U}reta, {C}. and {G}ay, {C}. and {D}efrance, {D}imitri},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{I}mpacts on ecosystems and biodiversity are a prominent area of research in climate change. {H}owever, little is known about the effects of abrupt climate change and climate catastrophes on them. {T}he probability of occurrence of such events is largely unknown but the associated risks could be large enough to influence global climate policy. {A}mphibians are indicators of ecosystems' health and particularly sensitive to novel climate conditions. {U}sing state-of-the-art climate model simulations, we present a global assessment of the effects of unabated global warming and a collapse of the {A}tlantic meridional overturning circulation ({AMOC}) on the distribution of 2509 amphibian species across six biogeographical realms and extinction risk categories. {G}lobal warming impacts are severe and strongly enhanced by additional and substantial {AMOC} weakening, showing tipping point behavior for many amphibian species. {F}urther declines in climatically suitable areas are projected across multiple clades, and biogeographical regions. {S}pecies loss in regional assemblages is extensive across regions, with {N}eotropical, {N}earctic and {P}alearctic regions being most affected. {R}esults underline the need to expand existing knowledge about the consequences of climate catastrophes on human and natural systems to properly assess the risks of unabated warming and the benefits of active mitigation strategies. {J}ulian {V}elasco et al. use climate model simulations to show how the collapse of the {A}tlantic meridional overturning circulation and unabated global warming under the {RCP} 8.5 scenario affect the global distribution of 2509 amphibian species. {T}hese results show severe and synergistic impacts of global warming, with particularly strong effects shown in the {N}eotropical, {N}earctic and {P}alearctic regions.},
  keywords = {{MONDE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{C}ommunications {B}iology},
  volume = {4},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {141 [7 p.]},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.1038/s42003-021-01665-6},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010080953},
}