@article{fdi:010080623,
  title = {{H}istorical and future contributions of inland waters to the {C}ongo {B}asin carbon balance},
  author = {{H}astie, {A}. and {L}auerwald, {R}. and {C}iais, {P}. and {P}apa, {F}abrice and {R}egnier, {P}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{A}s the second largest area of contiguous tropical rainforest and second largest river basin in the world, the {C}ongo {B}asin has a significant role to play in the global carbon ({C}) cycle. {F}or the present day, it has been shown that a significant proportion of global terrestrial net primary productivity ({NPP}) is transferred laterally to the land-ocean aquatic continuum ({LOAC}) as dissolved {CO}2, dissolved organic carbon ({DOC}), and particulate organic carbon ({POC}). {W}hilst the importance of {LOAC} fluxes in the {C}ongo {B}asin has been demonstrated for the present day, it is not known to what extent these fluxes have been perturbed historically, how they are likely to change under future climate change and land use scenarios, and in turn what impact these changes might have on the overall {C} cycle of the basin. {H}ere we apply the {ORCHILEAK} model to the {C}ongo {B}asin and estimate that 4 % of terrestrial {NPP} ({NPP} = 5800 +/- 166 {T}g {C} yr(-1)) is currently exported from soils and vegetation to inland waters. {F}urther, our results suggest that aquatic {C} fluxes may have undergone considerable perturbation since 1861 to the present day, with aquatic {CO}2 evasion and {C} export to the coast increasing by 26 % (186 +/- 41 to 235 +/- 54 {T}g {C} yr(-1)) and 25 % (12 +/- 3 to 15 +/- 4 {T}g {C} yr(-1)), respectively, largely because of rising atmospheric {CO}2 concentrations. {M}oreover, under climate scenario {RCP}6.0 we predict that this perturbation could continue; over the full simulation period (1861-2099), we estimate that aquatic {CO}2 evasion and {C} export to the coast could increase by 79 % and 67 %, respectively. {F}inally, we show that the proportion of terrestrial {NPP} lost to the {LOAC} could increase from approximately 3 % to 5 % from 1861-2099 as a result of increasing atmospheric {CO}2 concentrations and climate change. {H}owever, our future projections of the {C}ongo {B}asin {C} fluxes in particular need to be interpreted with some caution due to model limitations. {W}e discuss these limitations, including the wider challenges associated with applying the current generation of land surface models which ignore nutrient dynamics to make future projections of the tropical {C} cycle, along with potential next steps.},
  keywords = {{CONGO} {BASSIN}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}arth {S}ystem {D}ynamics},
  volume = {12},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {37--62},
  ISSN = {2190-4979},
  year = {2021},
  DOI = {10.5194/esd-12-37-2021},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010080623},
}