@article{fdi:010080436,
  title = {{A}ttributing causes of future climate change in the {C}alifornia {C}urrent {S}ystem with multimodel downscaling},
  author = {{H}oward, {E}. {M}. and {F}renzel, {H}. and {K}essouri, {F}. and {R}enault, {L}ionel and {B}ianchi, {D}. and {M}c{W}illiams, {J}. {C}. and {D}eutsch, {C}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{C}oastal winds in the {C}alifornia {C}urrent {S}ystem ({CCS}) are credited with the high productivity of its planktonic ecosystem and the shallow hypoxic and corrosive waters that structure diverse macrofaunal habitats. {T}hese winds thus are considered a leading mediator of climate change impacts in the {CCS} and other {E}astern {B}oundary {U}pwelling systems. {W}e use an eddy-permitting regional model to downscale the response of the {CCS} to three of the major distinct climate changes commonly projected by global {E}arth {S}ystem {M}odels: regional winds, ocean warming and stratification, and remote water chemical properties. {A}n increase in alongshore winds intensifies spring upwelling across the {CCS}, but this response is muted by increased stratification, especially during summer. {D}espite the seasonal shift in regional wind-driven upwelling, basin-scale changes are the decisive factor in the response of marine ecosystem properties including temperature, nutrients, productivity, and oxygen. {D}ownscaled temperature increases and dissolved oxygen decreases are broadly consistent with coarse resolution {E}arth {S}ystem {M}odels, and these projected changes are large and well constrained across the models, whereas nutrient and productivity changes are small compared to the intermodel spread. {T}hese results imply that global models with poor resolution of coastal processes nevertheless yield important information about the dominant climate impacts on coastal ecosystems.},
  keywords = {climate forcings ; {C}alifornia {C}urrent ; biogeochemistry ; winds ; stratification ; downscaling ; {PACIFIQUE} {NORD} ; {AMERIQUE} {DU} {NORD}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{G}lobal {B}iogeochemical {C}ycles},
  volume = {34},
  numero = {11},
  pages = {e2020{GB}006646 [16 p.]},
  ISSN = {0886-6236},
  year = {2020},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010080436},
}