@article{fdi:010079893,
  title = {{A}ssessing hydrological vulnerability to future droughts in a {M}editerranean watershed : combined indices-based and distributed modeling approaches},
  author = {{B}rouziyne, {Y}. and {A}bouabdillah, {A}. and {C}hehbouni, {A}bdelghani and {H}anich, {L}. and {B}ergaoui, {K}. and {M}c{D}onnell, {R}. and {B}enaabidate, {L}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{U}nderstanding the spatiotemporal distribution of future droughts is essential for effective water resource management, especially in the {M}editerranean region where water resources are expected to be scarcer in the future. {I}n this study, we combined meteorological and hydrological drought indices with the {S}oil and {W}ater {A}ssessment {T}ool ({SWAT}) model to predict future dry years during two periods (2035-2050and 2085-2100) in a typical {M}editerranean watershed in {N}orthern {M}orocco, namely, {B}ouregreg watershed. {T}he developed methodology was then used to evaluate drought impact on annual water yields and to identify the most vulnerable sub-basins within the study watershed. {T}wo emission scenarios ({RCP}4.5 and {RCP}8.5) of a downscaled global circulation model were used to force the calibrated {SWAT} model. {R}esults indicated that {B}ouregreg watershed will experience several dry years with higher frequency especially at the end of current century. {S}ignificant decreases of annual water yields were simulated during dry years, ranging from -45.6% to -76.7% under {RCP}4.5, and from -66.7% to -95.6% under {RCP}8.5, compared to baseline. {O}verall, hydrologic systems in sub-basins under the ocean or high-altitude influence appear to be more resilient to drought. {T}he combination of drought indices and the semi-distributed model offer a comprehensive tool to understand potential future droughts in {B}ouregreg watershed.},
  keywords = {drought indices ; {SWAT} ; spatiotemporal assessment ; water yield ; {B}ouregreg watershed ; {MAROC} ; {BOUREGREG} {COURS} {D}'{EAU} ; {ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{W}ater},
  volume = {12},
  numero = {9},
  pages = {2333 [24 p.]},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.3390/w12092333},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010079893},
}