@article{fdi:010079768,
  title = {{I}ncreased likelihood of heat-induced large wildfires in the {M}editerranean {B}asin},
  author = {{R}uffault, {J}. and {C}urt, {T}. and {M}oron, {V}. and {T}rigo, {R}. {M}. and {M}ouillot, {F}lorent and {K}outsias, {N}. and {P}imont, {F}. and {M}artin-{S}t{P}aul, {N}. and {B}arbero, {R}. and {D}upuy, {J}. {L}. and {R}usso, {A}. and {B}elhadj-{K}hedher, {C}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{W}ildfire activity is expected to increase across the {M}editerranean {B}asin because of climate change. {H}owever, the effects of future climate change on the combinations of atmospheric conditions that promote wildfire activity remain largely unknown. {U}sing a fire-weather based classification of wildfires, we show that future climate scenarios point to an increase in the frequency of two heat-induced fire-weather types that have been related to the largest wildfires in recent years. {H}eat-induced fire-weather types are characterized by compound dry and warm conditions occurring during summer heatwaves, either under moderate (heatwave type) or intense (hot drought type) drought. {T}he frequency of heat-induced fire-weather is projected to increase by 14% by the end of the century (2071-2100) under the {RCP}4.5 scenario, and by 30% under the {RCP}8.5, suggesting that the frequency and extent of large wildfires will increase throughout the {M}editerranean {B}asin.},
  keywords = {{ZONE} {MEDITERRANEENNE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{S}cientific {R}eports - {N}ature},
  volume = {10},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {13790 [9 ]},
  ISSN = {2045-2322},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.1038/s41598-020-70069-z},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010079768},
}