@article{fdi:010079401,
  title = {{E}l {N}ino as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest {A}frican coast},
  author = {{L}opez-{P}arages, {J}. and {A}uger, {P}. {A}. and {R}odriguez-{F}onseca, {B}. and {K}eenlyside, {N}. and {G}aetan, {C}. and {R}ubino, {A}. and {A}risido, {M}. {W}. and {B}rochier, {T}imoth{\'e}e},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he {E}l {N}ino {S}outhern {O}scillation ({ENSO}) produces global marine environment conditions that can cause changes in abundance and distribution of distant fish populations worldwide. {U}nderstanding mechanisms acting locally on fish population dynamics is crucial to develop forecast skill useful for fisheries management. {T}he present work addresses the role played by {ENSO} on the round sardinella population biomass and distribution in the central-southern portion of the {C}anary {C}urrent {U}pwelling {S}ystem ({CCUS}). {A} combined physical-biogeochemical framework is used to understand the climate influence on the hydrodynamical conditions in the study area. {T}hen, an evolutionary individual-based model is used to simulate the round sardinella spatio-temporal biomass variability. {A}ccording to model experiments, anomalous oceanographic conditions forced by {E}l {N}ino along the {A}frican coast cause anomalies in the latitudinal migration pattern of the species. {A} robust anomalous increase and decrease of the simulated round sardinella biomass is identified in winter off the {C}ape {B}lanc and the {S}aharan coast region, respectively, in response to {E}l {N}ino variations. {T}he resultant anomalous pattern is an alteration of the normal migration between the {S}aharan and the {M}auritanian waters. {I}t is primarily explained by the modulating role that {E}l {N}ino exerts on the currents off {C}ape {B}lanc, modifying therefore the normal migration of round sardinella in the search of acceptable temperature conditions. {T}his climate signature can be potentially predicted up to six months in advance based on {E}l {N}ino conditions in the {P}acific.},
  keywords = {{E}l {N}ino ; {S}ardinella aurita ; {C}oastal upwelling ; {D}ynamical oceanography ; {A}tmospheric sciences ; {PACIFIQUE} ; {ATLANTIQUE} ; {CANARIES} {COURANT} ; {CAPE} {BLANC}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{P}rogress in {O}ceanography},
  volume = {186},
  numero = {},
  pages = {art. 102341 [11 p.]},
  ISSN = {0079-6611},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102341},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010079401},
}