@article{fdi:010079087,
  title = {{C}limate and extreme rainfall events in the {M}ono {R}iver basin ({W}est {A}frica) : investigating future changes with regional climate models},
  author = {{A}moussou, {E}. and {A}woye, {H}. and {V}odounon, {H}. {S}. {T}. and {O}bahoundje, {S}. and {C}amberlin, {P}. and {D}iedhiou, {A}rona and {K}ouadio, {K}. and {M}ah{\'e}, {G}il and {H}oundenou, {C}. and {B}oko, {M}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}his study characterizes the future changes in extreme rainfall and air temperature in the {M}ono river basin where the main economic activity is weather dependent and local populations are highly vulnerable to natural hazards, including flood inundations. {D}aily precipitation and temperature from observational datasets and {R}egional {C}limate {M}odels ({RCM}s) output from {REMO}, {R}eg{CM}, {H}ad{RM}3, and {RCA} were used to analyze climatic variations in space and time, and fit a {GEV} model to investigate the extreme rainfalls and their return periods. {T}he results indicate that the realism of the simulated climate in this domain is mainly controlled by the choice of the {RCM}s. {T}hese {RCM}s projected a 1 to 1.5 degrees {C} temperature increase by 2050 while the projected trends for cumulated precipitation are null or very moderate and diverge among models. {C}ontrasting results were obtained for the intense rainfall events, with {R}eg{CM} and {H}ad{RM}3 pointing to a significant increase in the intensity of extreme rainfall events. {T}he {GEV} model is well suited for the prediction of heavy rainfall events although there are uncertainties beyond the 90th percentile. {T}he annual maxima of daily precipitation will also increase by 2050 and could be of benefit to the ecosystem services and socioeconomic activities in the {M}ono river basin but could also be a threat.},
  keywords = {{M}ono basin ; extreme rainfall events ; {ENSEMBLE} ; regional climate models ; {TOGO} ; {BENIN} ; {GUINEE} {GOLFE} ; {MONO} {BASSIN}},
  booktitle = {{M}ultiscale impacts of anthropogenic and climate changes on tropical and mediterranean hydrology},
  journal = {{W}ater},
  volume = {12},
  numero = {3},
  pages = {art. 833 [27 p.]},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.3390/w12030833},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010079087},
}