@article{fdi:010077926,
  title = {{C}limate change vulnerability, water resources and social implications in {N}orth {A}frica},
  author = {{S}chilling, {J}. and {H}ertig, {E}. and {T}ramblay, {Y}ves and {S}cheffran, {J}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{N}orth {A}frica is considered a climate change hot spot. {E}xisting studies either focus on the physical aspects of climate change or discuss the social ones. {T}he present article aims to address this divide by assessing and comparing the climate change vulnerability of {A}lgeria, {E}gypt, {L}ibya, {M}orocco, and {T}unisia and linking it to its social implications. {T}he vulnerability assessment focuses on climate change exposure, water resources, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. {T}he results suggest that all countries are exposed to strong temperature increases and a high drought risk under climate change. {A}lgeria is most vulnerable to climate change, mainly due to the country's high sensitivity. {A}cross {N}orth {A}frica, the combination of climate change and strong population growth is very likely to further aggravate the already scarce water situation. {T}he so-called {A}rab {S}pring has shown that social unrest is partly caused by unmet basic needs of the population for food and water. {T}hus, climate change may become an indirect driver of social instability in {N}orth {A}frica. {T}o mitigate the impact of climate change, it is important to reduce economic and livelihood dependence on rain-fed agriculture, strengthen sustainable land use practices, and increase the adaptive capacity. {F}urther, increased regional cooperation and sub-national vulnerability assessments are needed.},
  keywords = {{C}limate change ; {V}ulnerability ; {R}esilience ; {W}ater ; {C}onflict ; {N}orth {A}frica ; {AFRIQUE} {DU} {NORD} ; {ALGERIE} ; {EGYPTE} ; {LIBYE} ; {MAROC} ; {TUNISIE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{R}egional {E}nvironmental {C}hange},
  volume = {20},
  numero = {1},
  pages = {15 [12 ]},
  ISSN = {1436-3798},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.1007/s10113-020-01597-7},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077926},
}