@article{fdi:010077870,
  title = {{C}omments on the paper "{T}wo independent real-time precursors of the 7.8 {M} earthquake in {E}cuador based on radioactive and geodetic processes - {P}owerful tools for an early warning system" by {T}oulkeridis et al. (2019)},
  author = {{Y}epes, {H}. and {N}ocquet, {J}ean-{M}athieu and {B}ernard, {B}. and {P}alacios, {P}. {B}. and {V}aca, {S}. and {A}guaiza, {S}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{I}n the paper entitled "{T}wo independent real-time precursors of the 7.8 {M} earthquake in {E}cuador based on radioactive and geodetic processes - {P}owerful tools for an early warning system", {T}oulkeridis et al. (2019) claim that they found radiation and {GPS} signal anomalies before the {A}pril 16th 2016 {P}edernales earthquake ({E}cuador) and that their findings can be used to forecast earthquakes in the medium and short term in active continental margins. {U}sing an extended data set that overlaps {T}oulkeridis et al. (2019) study period, we find: (1) the success rate of predicting earthquakes using radiation anomalies is 2.5 %; (2) radiation anomalies, including the one recorded during the hours before the {M} 7.8 earthquake, temporally correlate with local rainfall; (3) {T}oulkeridis et al. (2019) {GPS} results are physically unrealistic and inconsistent with previously published {GPS} and {I}n{SAR} analysis; (4) there is no anomaly in the {GPS} time series before the earthquake. {T}herefore, {T}oulkeridis et al. (2019) results are not reliable evidence of precursors to the {M} 7.8 earthquake in 2016 in {E}cuador, and their proposed method cannot be used to forecast earthquakes.},
  keywords = {{E}arthquake precursor ; {R}adiation ; {GPS} ; {F}orecast ; {E}arly warning ; {EQUATEUR}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{J}ournal of {G}eodynamics},
  volume = {133},
  numero = {},
  pages = {art. 101648 [6 ]},
  ISSN = {0264-3707},
  year = {2020},
  DOI = {10.1016/j.jog.2019.101648},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077870},
}