Djidjou-Demasse Ramsès auteur aut IRD Abiodun G. J. auteur aut IRD Adeola A. M. auteur aut IRD Botai J. O. auteur aut IRD text journalArticle eng text/pdf born digital access In this paper, we develop and analyze a malaria model with seasonality of mosquito life-history traits: periodic-mosquitoes per capita birth rate, -mosquitoes death rate, -probability of mosquito to human disease transmission, -probability of human to mosquito disease transmission, and -mosquitoes biting rate. All these parameters are assumed to be time dependent leading to a nonautonomous differential equation system. We provide a global analysis of the model depending on two threshold parameters R0 and R over bar 0<1 (with R0 <= R over bar 0). When R0<1, then the disease-free stationary state is locally asymptotically stable. In the presence of the human disease-induced mortality, the global stability of the disease-free stationary state is guarantied when R over bar 0<1. On the contrary, if R0>1, the disease persists in the host population in the long term and the model admits at least one positive periodic solution. Moreover, by a numerical simulation, we show that a sub-critical (backward) bifurcation is possible at R0=1. Finally, the simulation results are in accordance with the seasonal variation of the reported cases of a malaria-epidemic region in Mpumalanga province in South Africa. specialized basic reproduction number global stability periodic solution seasonal pattern uniform persistence 020 [Early Access] [23 p.] 2019 0022-2526 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077771 10.1111/sapm.12296 0022-2526 [F B010077771] https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077771 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/2020/01/010077771.pdf Accès réservé (Intranet de l'IRD) IRD - Base Horizon / Pleins textes 2020-02-05 2025-02-24 fdi:010077771 fre