@techreport{fdi:010077612, title = {{I}s migration drought-induced in {M}ali ? {A}n empirical analysis using panel data on {M}alian localities over the 1987-2009 period}, author = {{D}efrance, {D}imitri and {D}elesalles, {E}. and {G}ubert, {F}lore}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{T}his paper combines population census data and climate data to estimate the volume of migrations induced by the drought events that have hit {M}ali since the late 1980s. {T}he results show that the droughts that have unevenly acted the regions of {M}ali have had the ect of increasing migration from rural to urban areas. {T}his is true for both men and women, regardless of the age group considered. {B}etween 1998 and 2009, droughts translate into an additional net outow of 7,134 male and 6,281 female rural migrants per year. {T}he ect of drought episodes, however, differs according to localities and rural households'capacity to adapt to climatic constraints: it fades in localities characterized by more diversied crops and in those located in the {S}udano-{S}ahelian and {S}udano-{G}uinean zones that receive more rainfall on average. {C}limate shocks also had an impact on international mobility: over the 2004-2009 period, around 2,000 additional departures per year can be attributed to the dry episodes that hit {M}ali during the 2000s. {W}e forecast that, under dirent climate scenarios and population growth projection, internal and international mobility induced by droughts events will substantially grow in the next decades.}, keywords = {{MALI}}, address = {{P}aris}, publisher = {{DIAL}}, series = {{D}ocuments de {T}ravail - {DIAL}}, pages = {45 multigr.}, year = {2020}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010077612}, }