@article{fdi:010075580, title = {{C}limate change may have minor impact on zooplankton functional diversity in the {M}editerranean {S}ea}, author = {{B}enedetti, {F}. and {A}yata, {S}. {D}. and {I}risson, {J}. {O}. and {A}dloff, {F}. and {G}uilhaumon, {F}ran{\c{c}}ois}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{A}im {T}o assess the impact of climate change on the functional diversity of marine zooplankton communities. {L}ocation {T}he {M}editerranean {S}ea. {M}ethods {W}e used the functional traits and geographic distributions of 106 copepod species to estimate the zooplankton functional diversity of {M}editerranean surface assemblages for the 1965-1994 and 2069-2098 periods. {M}ultiple environmental niche models were trained at the global scale to project the species habitat suitability in the {M}editerranean {S}ea and assess their sensitivity to climate change predicted by several scenarios. {S}imultaneously, the species traits were used to compute a functional dendrogram from which we identified seven functional groups and estimated functional diversity through {F}aith's index. {W}e compared the measured functional diversity to the one originated from null models to test if changes in functional diversity were solely driven by changes in species richness. {R}esults {A}ll but three of the 106 species presented range contractions of varying intensity. {A} relatively low decrease of species richness (-7.42 on average) is predicted for 97% of the basin, with higher losses in the eastern regions. {R}elative sensitivity to climate change is not clustered in functional space and does not significantly vary across the seven copepod functional groups defined. {C}hanges in functional diversity follow the same pattern and are not different from those that can be expected from changes in richness alone. {M}ain conclusions {C}limate change is not expected to alter copepod functional traits distribution in the {M}editerranean {S}ea, as the most and the least sensitive species are functionally redundant. {S}uch redundancy should buffer the loss of ecosystem functions in {M}editerranean zooplankton assemblages induced by climate change. {B}ecause the most negatively impacted species are affiliated to temperate regimes and share {A}tlantic biogeographic origins, our results are in line with the hypothesis of increasingly more tropical {M}editerranean communities.}, keywords = {climate change ; functional diversity ; {M}editerranean {S}ea ; niche ; modelling ; null model ; zooplankton ; {MEDITERRANEE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{D}iversity and {D}istributions}, volume = {25}, numero = {4}, pages = {568--581}, ISSN = {1366-9516}, year = {2019}, DOI = {10.1111/ddi.12857}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010075580}, }