%0 Journal Article %9 ACL : Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture répertoriées par l'AERES %A Kouwaye, B. %A Rossi, F. %A Fonton, N. %A Garcia, André %A Dossou-Gbété, S. %A Hounkonnou, M. N. %A Cottrell, Gilles %T Predicting local malaria exposure using a Lasso-based two-level cross validation algorithm %D 2017 %L fdi:010071344 %G ENG %J PLOS One %@ 1932-6203 %K BENIN %M ISI:000414088900052 %N 10 %P e0187234 [14 ] %R 10.1371/journal.pone.0187234 %U https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010071344 %> https://horizon.documentation.ird.fr/exl-doc/pleins_textes/divers17-11/010071344.pdf %V 12 %W Horizon (IRD) %X Recent studies have highlighted the importance of local environmental factors to determine the fine-scale heterogeneity of malaria transmission and exposure to the vector. In this work, we compare a classical GLM model with backward selection with different versions of an automatic LASSO-based algorithm with 2-level cross-validation aiming to build a predictive model of the space and time dependent individual exposure to the malaria vector, using entomological and environmental data from a cohort study in Benin. Although the GLM can outperform the LASSO model with appropriate engineering, the best model in terms of predictive power was found to be the LASSO-based model. Our approach can be adapted to different topics and may therefore be helpful to address prediction issues in other health sciences domains. %$ 052 ; 020