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      <title>Analysing trends and forecasting malaria epidemics in Madagascar using a sentinel surveillance network : a web-based application</title>
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    <abstract>Background : The use of a malaria early warning system (MEWS) to trigger prompt public health interventions is a key step in adding value to the epidemiological data routinely collected by sentinel surveillance systems. Methods : This study describes a system using various epidemic thresholds and a forecasting component with the support of new technologies to improve the performance of a sentinel MEWS. Malaria-related data from 21 sentinel sites collected by Short Message Service are automatically analysed to detect malaria trends and malaria outbreak alerts with automated feedback reports. Results : Roll Back Malaria partners can, through a user-friendly web-based tool, visualize potential outbreaks and generate a forecasting model. The system already demonstrated its ability to detect malaria outbreaks in Madagascar in 2014. Conclusion : This approach aims to maximize the usefulness of a sentinel surveillance system to predict and detect epidemics in limited-resource environments.</abstract>
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      <geographic>MADAGASCAR</geographic>
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    <classification authority="local">052</classification>
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    <classification authority="local">128</classification>
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      <titleInfo>
        <title>Malaria Journal</title>
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          <number>16</number>
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          <list> art. 72 [11 p.]</list>
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        <dateIssued>2017</dateIssued>
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      <identifier type="issn">1475-2875</identifier>
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    <identifier type="uri">https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010069275</identifier>
    <identifier type="doi">10.1186/s12936-017-1728-9</identifier>
    <identifier type="issn">1475-2875</identifier>
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