@article{fdi:010065328,
  title = {{A}ssessing the design and power of capture-recapture studies to estimate demographic parameters for the {E}ndangered {O}ceania humpback whale population},
  author = {{C}arroll, {E}. {L}. and {B}rooks, {L}. and {B}aker, {C}. {S}. and {B}urns, {D}. and {G}arrigue, {C}laire and {H}auser, {N}. and {J}ackson, {J}. {A}. and {P}oole, {M}. {M}. and {F}ewster, {R}. {M}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{C}apture-recapture studies offer a powerful tool to assess abundance, survival and population rate of change (lambda). {A} previous capture-recapture study, based on {DNA} profiles, estimated that the {IUCN}-listed {E}ndangered {O}ceania population of humpback whales had a super-population size of 4329 whales (95% confidence limits, {CL}: 3345, 5315) and lambda = 1.03 (95% {CL}: 0.90-1.18) for the period 1999-2005. {T}his low estimate of lambda contrasts with the high estimated. for the neighbouring east {A}ustralia population (1.11; 95% {CL}: 1.105-1.113). {A} future assessment of {O}ceania humpbacks through capture-recapture methodology has been proposed to meet 3 objectives: (1) estimate population size with a coefficient of variation of <20%, and detect if lambda is significantly different from (2) 1.00 or (3) lambda of east {A}ustralia. {T}he proposed survey design involves using {DNA} profiles to identify whales on principal breeding grounds within {O}ceania in proportion to the abundance of whales on these grounds over the 10 to 12 wk wintering period, to minimise capture heterogeneity between individuals and to maximise capture probabilities. {S}imulations of the idealised survey design incorporating data from the previous surveys (1999-2005) with 3 new survey years were conducted under a range of scenarios for the 'true' demographic status of the population. {S}imulations of the entire {O}ceania region showed that the proposed design will give sufficient power to meet objectives (1) under all scenarios, (2) if the true lambda >= 1.05 and (3) if the true lambda <= 1.05. {R}egion-specific simulations suggested there was scope to test for differences in recovery between principal breeding sites within {O}ceania.},
  keywords = {{TONGA} ; {POLYNESIE} {FRANCAISE} ; {NOUVELLE} {CALEDONIE} ; {OCEANIE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}ndangered {S}pecies {R}esearch},
  volume = {28},
  numero = {2},
  pages = {147--162},
  ISSN = {1863-5407},
  year = {2015},
  DOI = {10.3354/esr00686},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010065328},
}