@article{fdi:010063954,
  title = {{N}iche shift can impair the ability to predict invasion risk in the marine realm : an illustration using {M}editerranean fish invaders},
  author = {{P}arravicini, {V}aleriano and {A}zzurro, {E}. and {K}ulbicki, {M}ichel and {B}elmaker, {J}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{C}limatic niche conservatism, the tendency of species-climate associations to remain unchanged across space and time, is pivotal for forecasting the spread of invasive species and biodiversity changes. {I}ndeed, it represents one of the key assumptions underlying species distribution models ({SDM}s), the main tool currently available for predicting range shifts of species. {H}owever, to date, no comprehensive assessment of niche conservatism is available for the marine realm. {W}e use the invasion by {I}ndo-{P}acific tropical fishes into the {M}editerranean {S}ea, the world's most invaded marine basin, to examine the conservatism of the climatic niche. {W}e show that tropical invaders may spread far beyond their native niches and that {SDM}s do not predict their new distributions better than null models. {O}ur results suggest that {SDM}s may underestimate the potential spread of invasive species and call for prudence in employing these models in order to forecast species invasion and their response to environmental change.},
  keywords = {{B}iological invasion ; niche conservatism ; niche expansion ; niche shift ; species distribution models ; {MEDITERRANEE}},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{E}cology {L}etters},
  volume = {18},
  numero = {3},
  pages = {246--253},
  ISSN = {1461-023{X}},
  year = {2015},
  DOI = {10.1111/ele.12401},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010063954},
}