<?xml version="1.0"?>
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:title>Influence of upper ocean stratification interannual variability on tropical cyclones</dc:title>
  <dc:creator>Vincent, E. M.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Emanuel, K. A.</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>/Lengaigne, Matthieu</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>/Vialard, J&#xE9;r&#xF4;me</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Madec, G.</dc:creator>
  <dc:description>Climate modes, such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), influence Tropical Cyclones (TCs) interannual activity through their effect on large-scale atmospheric environment. These climate modes also induce interannual variations of subsurface oceanic stratification, which may also influence TCs. Changes in oceanic stratification indeed modulate the amplitude of TCs-induced cooling, and hence the negative feedback of air-sea interactions on the TC intensity. Here we use a dynamical downscaling approach that couples an axisymmetric TC model to a simple ocean model to quantify this interannual oceanic control on TC activity. We perform twin experiments with contrasted oceanic stratifications representative of interannual variability in each TC-prone region. While subsurface oceanic variations do not significantly affect the number of moderate (Category 3 or less) TCs, they do induce a 30% change of Category 5 TC-days globally, and a 70% change for TCs exceeding 85 m s(-1). TCs in the western Pacific and the southwestern Indian Ocean are most sensitive to oceanic interannual variability (with a similar to 10 m s(-1) modulation of the intensity of strongest storms at low latitude), owing to large upper ocean variations in response to ENSO. These results imply that a representation of ocean stratification variability should benefit operational forecasts of intense TCs and the understanding of their climatic variability.</dc:description>
  <dc:date>2014</dc:date>
  <dc:type>text</dc:type>
  <dc:identifier>https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010062682</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>fdi:010062682</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>Vincent E. M., Emanuel K. A., Lengaigne Matthieu, Vialard J&#xE9;r&#xF4;me, Madec G.. Influence of upper ocean stratification interannual variability on tropical cyclones. 2014, 6 (3),  680-699</dc:identifier>
  <dc:language>EN</dc:language>
  <dc:coverage>ZONE TROPICALE</dc:coverage>
</oai_dc:dc>
