@article{fdi:010062030, title = {{P}hylogeography in continuous space : coupling species distribution models and circuit theory to assess the effect of contiguous migration at different climatic periods on genetic differentiation in {B}usseola fusca ({L}epidoptera : {N}octuidae)}, author = {{D}upas, {S}t{\'e}phane and {L}e {R}ΓΌ, {B}runo and {B}ranca, {A}. and {F}aure, {N}. and {G}igot, {G}. and {C}ampagne, {P}. and {S}ezonlin, {M}. and {N}demah, {R}. and {O}ng'amo, {G}. and {C}alatayud, {P}aul-{A}ndr{\'e} and {S}ilvain, {J}ean-{F}ran{\c{c}}ois}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{C}urrent population genetic models fail to cope with genetic differentiation for species with large, contiguous and heterogeneous distribution. {W}e show that in such a case, genetic differentiation can be predicted at equilibrium by circuit theory, where conductance corresponds to abundance in species distribution models ({SDM}s). {C}ircuit-{SDM} approach was used for the phylogeographic study of the lepidopteran cereal stemborer {B}usseola fusca{F}uller ({N}octuidae) across sub-{S}aharan {A}frica. {S}pecies abundance was surveyed across its distribution range. {SDM}s were optimized and selected by cross-validation. {R}elationship between observed matrices of genetic differentiation between individuals, and between matrices of resistance distance was assessed through {M}antel tests and redundancy discriminant analyses ({RDA}s). {A} total of 628 individuals from 130 localities in 17 countries were genotyped at seven microsatellite loci. {S}ix population clusters were found based on a {B}ayesian analysis. {T}he eastern margin of {D}ahomey gap between {E}ast and {W}est {A}frica was the main factor of genetic differentiation. {T}he {SDM} projections at present, last interglacial and last glacial maximum periods were used for the estimation of circuit resistance between locations of genotyped individuals. {F}or all periods of time, when using either all individuals or only {E}ast {A}frican individuals, partial {M}antel r and {RDA} conditioning on geographic distance were found significant. {U}nder future projections (year 2080), partial r and {RDA} significance were different. {F}rom this study, it is concluded that analytical solutions provided by circuit theory are useful for the evolutionary management of populations and for phylogeographic analysis when coalescence times are not accessible by approximate {B}ayesian simulations.}, keywords = {circuit theory ; dispersal ; landscape genetics ; phylogeography ; species ; distribution modelling ; {AFRIQUE} {SUBSAHARIENNE}}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{M}olecular {E}cology}, volume = {23}, numero = {9}, pages = {2313--2325}, ISSN = {0962-1083}, year = {2014}, DOI = {10.1111/mec.12730}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010062030}, }