Vecchi G. A. auteur aut IRD Msadek R. auteur aut IRD Delworth T. L. auteur aut IRD Dixon K. W. auteur aut IRD Guilyardi E. auteur aut IRD Hawkins E. auteur aut IRD Karspeck A. R. auteur aut IRD Mignot Juliette auteur aut IRD Robson J. auteur aut IRD Rosati A. auteur aut IRD Zhang R. auteur aut IRD text journalArticle eng text/pdf born digital access Matei et al. (Reports, 6 January 2012, p. 76) claim to show skillful multiyear predictions of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, these claims are not justified, primarily because the predictions of AMOC transport do not outperform simple reference forecasts based on climatological annual cycles. Accordingly, there is no justification for the "confident" prediction of a stable AMOC through 2014. specialized 032 338 6107 2012 0036-8075 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010057290 10.1126/science.1222566 0036-8075 [F B010057290] https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010057290 https://www.documentation.ird.fr/intranet/publi/2012/11/010057290.pdf Accès réservé (Intranet de l'IRD) IRD - Base Horizon / Pleins textes 2012-11-30 2017-08-23 fdi:010057290 fre