@article{fdi:010057290, title = {{C}omment on "{M}ultiyear prediction of monthly mean {A}tlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5 degrees {N}"}, author = {{V}ecchi, {G}. {A}. and {M}sadek, {R}. and {D}elworth, {T}. {L}. and {D}ixon, {K}. {W}. and {G}uilyardi, {E}. and {H}awkins, {E}. and {K}arspeck, {A}. {R}. and {M}ignot, {J}uliette and {R}obson, {J}. and {R}osati, {A}. and {Z}hang, {R}.}, editor = {}, language = {{ENG}}, abstract = {{M}atei et al. ({R}eports, 6 {J}anuary 2012, p. 76) claim to show skillful multiyear predictions of the {A}tlantic {M}eridional {O}verturning {C}irculation ({AMOC}). {H}owever, these claims are not justified, primarily because the predictions of {AMOC} transport do not outperform simple reference forecasts based on climatological annual cycles. {A}ccordingly, there is no justification for the "confident" prediction of a stable {AMOC} through 2014.}, keywords = {}, booktitle = {}, journal = {{S}cience}, volume = {338}, numero = {6107}, pages = {}, ISSN = {0036-8075}, year = {2012}, DOI = {10.1126/science.1222566}, URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010057290}, }