@article{fdi:010055944,
  title = {{T}oward a ground-motion logic tree for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in {E}urope},
  author = {{D}elavaud, {E}. and {C}otton, {F}. and {A}kkar, {S}. and {S}cherbaum, {F}. and {D}anciu, {L}. and {B}eauval, {C}{\'e}line and {D}rouet, {S}. and {D}ouglas, {J}. and {B}asili, {R}. and {S}andikkaya, {M}. {A}. and {S}egou, {M}. and {F}accioli, {E}. and {T}heodoulidis, {N}.},
  editor = {},
  language = {{ENG}},
  abstract = {{T}he {S}eismic {H}azard {H}armonization in {E}urope ({SHARE}) project, which began in {J}une 2009, aims at establishing new standards for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in the {E}uro-{M}editerranean region. {I}n this context, a logic tree for ground-motion prediction in {E}urope has been constructed. {G}round-motion prediction equations ({GMPE}s) and weights have been determined so that the logic tree captures epistemic uncertainty in ground-motion prediction for six different tectonic regimes in {E}urope. {H}ere we present the strategy that we adopted to build such a logic tree. {T}his strategy has the particularity of combining two complementary and independent approaches: expert judgment and data testing. {A} set of six experts was asked to weight pre-selected {GMPE}s while the ability of these {GMPE}s to predict available data was evaluated with the method of {S}cherbaum et al. ({B}ull {S}eismol {S}oc {A}m 99:3234-3247, 2009). {R}esults of both approaches were taken into account to commonly select the smallest set of {GMPE}s to capture the uncertainty in ground-motion prediction in {E}urope. {F}or stable continental regions, two models, both from eastern {N}orth {A}merica, have been selected for shields, and three {GMPE}s from active shallow crustal regions have been added for continental crust. {F}or subduction zones, four models, all non-{E}uropean, have been chosen. {F}inally, for active shallow crustal regions, we selected four models, each of them from a different host region but only two of them were kept for long periods. {I}n most cases, a common agreement has been also reached for the weights. {I}n case of divergence, a sensitivity analysis of the weights on the seismic hazard has been conducted, showing that once the {GMPE}s have been selected, the associated set of weights has a smaller influence on the hazard.},
  keywords = {{L}ogic trees ; {G}round-motion prediction equations ; {E}xpert judgment ; {M}odel ; selection ; {S}eismic hazard assessment},
  booktitle = {},
  journal = {{J}ournal of {S}eismology},
  volume = {16},
  numero = {3},
  pages = {451--473},
  ISSN = {1383-4649},
  year = {2012},
  DOI = {10.1007/s10950-012-9281-z},
  URL = {https://www.documentation.ird.fr/hor/fdi:010055944},
}